Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Typhoon Fury | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Life Story | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Playground | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Outlaw | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hangin in There | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princetown | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dunes of Gold | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Endless Reign | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Juventus | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grog | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Jig Is Up (IRE) | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lamcaro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Countryboysurvive | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mo Caliente | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Coinvest | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Poker Joker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fly the W | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Animal | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Be Like Clint | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Possiblemente | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Best Distance | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sand Dancer | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tap Gold | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speight’spercomete | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Journey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Cutler Bay S.) – Cutler Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Set | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tok Tok | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ari’s Magic | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salvattore Prince | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Your Money | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Julien | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Old Flag (IRE) | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Massif | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Private Thoughts | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fredo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit Maker | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sir London | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meyer | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O Captain | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spy Hunter | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mutaawid | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rotterdam | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Read On | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Photo | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Napoleonic War | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bold Majestic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | One Sharp Cookie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ponce de Leon | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valued Cajun | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Assertor | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Great Lilo | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Troublemeister | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Manhattan Boy | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mindframe | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Six Kings | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Waylon | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Idoneo | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Pan American S. Presented By Rood & Riddle) – Pan American S. Presented By Rood & Riddle
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tawny Port | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kertez (GB) | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harry Hood | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Ready | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Curlin | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candidate | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Public Sector (GB) | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starting Over | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Ghostzapper S.) – Ghostzapper S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lure Him In | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tumbarumba | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Il Miracolo | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steal Sunshine | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Donegal Forever | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Skipper Too | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mbagnick (CHI) | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | X Y Point | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Sanibel Island S.) – Sanibel Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ozara (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Ghost (GB) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pharoah’s Wine | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vive Veuve | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hello Hollywood | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Madness | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zo Lee | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Destiny Star | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joyful Lass | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Managing Mischief | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sir Shackleton S.) – Sir Shackleton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Implementation | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Kona | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Eclipse | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legacy Isle | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Range Toddy | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shaq Diesel | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ticking | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thought | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Orchid S.) – Orchid S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McKulick (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Mehana (FR) | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surprisingly | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anatolian | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Viva La Red | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tower Bridge | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | R Calli Kim | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Creative Cairo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Gulfstream Park Oaks Presented By Fanduel Tv) – Gulfstream Park Oaks Presented By Fanduel Tv
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ways and Means | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Champagne | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scalable | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Song | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fiona’s Magic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Do Gooder | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power Squeeze | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | America’s Vow | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neom City | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Sand Springs S.) – Sand Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Marketsegmentation | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fast as Flight | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cairo Consort | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Light | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fuente Ovejuna (GB) | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Nadeshiko | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beechnut Trophy | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Typey | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Diamond | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Jan’s Girl | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Appleton S.) – Appleton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Everest (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Never Surprised | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Flash | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality G | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smokin’ T | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Churchtown | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skyro | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | County Final | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tidal Forces | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Score | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Curlin Florida Derby Presented By Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms At Xalapa) – Curlin Florida Derby Presented By Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms At Xalapa
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Mo the First | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Fierceness | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hades | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Mo the First | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Conquest Warrior | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catalytic | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Le Dom Bro | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Real Macho | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frankie’s Empire | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Iris’s Dream | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bail Us Out | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Seminole Chief | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.