Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 30, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 U. S. Army 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Can’t Hush This 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Pats Property 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Escapologist 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ethereal Road 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Accidental Hero 15.00 5 10-1
6 6 Life Is Hard 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Burlsworth 0 0-1
4 4 Bradford 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Task 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Pearcy Road 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Burlsworth 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Crabtree 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Empyreal Shadow 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Turquoise Blue 6.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Young Jonesboro 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Secret Strategy 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Outlaw Run 10.00 7 13-1
10 10 Bet All the Gold 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Handsome Herb 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Run Jalen Run 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Brownstone 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Coach Jimi D 2.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Jester Sang 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Wants N Needs 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Gould’s Gold 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Strait Rush 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Texas Splurge 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strava 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Trident Hit 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Alejandro 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Dash Attack 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Tahoe Run 20.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Tapsasional 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Expensive Cut 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mowins 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Under the Palms 0 0-1
2 2 Bonaqua 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Tap the Champagne 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Happy Talk 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Who’s Ticket 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Xena 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Defining Joy 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Under the Palms 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Vinobello 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shopper’s Revenge 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 I’m Wide Awake 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Clear the Air 1.40 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bourbon Bash 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Juilliard 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Late Nite Radio 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Rocking Rocket 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Flying Houdini 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Militant 0 0-1
3 3 Riyadh Moon 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Militant 1.80 1.1 2-1
2 2 Django 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Mo El Grande 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Elko County 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Stronsino 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Ak Sar Ben Derby 4.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Daily Grind 20.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 P J’s Song 20.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Tell ‘Em I’m Comin 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Captivating Boy 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Inexorable 20.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Media Mogul 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Doctor Nash 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 King Russell 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Ten Days Later 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Prove Worthy 5.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Underhill’s Tab 8.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Nip N Tuck 30.00 6.6 13-1
12 12 Elusive Target 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Long Crow 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sun Thunder 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Oaklawn Mile S.) – Oaklawn Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Midnight Rising 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Silver Prospector 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Frosted Grace 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Last Samurai 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Necker Island 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Denington 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Nautical Star 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Logical Myth 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Matron S.) – Matron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zeitlos 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Daddysruby 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Mucho Macho Girl 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Hoosier Philly 15.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 American Band 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Leeloo 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Traverse 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Royal Spa 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Chandana 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Backyard Money 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Fantasy S.) – Fantasy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
My Mane Squeeze 0 0-1
12 12 Thorpedo Anna 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Recharge 30.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 West Omaha 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 My Mane Squeeze 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Ba Dee Yah 12.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Tapit Jenallie 15.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Lemon Muffin 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Candy Aisle 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 All Things Go 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 In Just My Heels 30.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Midshipman’s Dance 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Where’s My Ring 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Arkansas Derby) – Arkansas Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Muth 0 0-1
Just Steel 0 0-1
Just Steel 0 0-1
7 7 Muth 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Timberlake 1.80 3.8 7-1
4 4 Time for Truth 20.00 4 8-1
9 9 Mystik Dan 2.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Informed Patriot 30.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Dimatic 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Just Steel 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Liberal Arts 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Imperial Gun 30.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Will Take It 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Absinthe 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Thestral 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Blame Day 8.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 Faith Alone 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Wildwood Bye 5.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Let’s Duet 4.50 6.1 12-1
8 8 Malibu Smart 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Sister Kisses 12.00 7.3 14-1
13 13 Huntleigh 15.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Esme 30.00 8 15-1
9 9 Xylophone 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Marshside Mama 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Key to Success 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.