Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Olivia’s Sparkle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamie’s Joy | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bigbouquetofroses | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Money Magnettes | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perseverate | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vindicate Cha Cha | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Church Girl | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Dream | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whiting Field | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sting Music | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Force Royalty | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Plebeian | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Immortal Lion | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joe From Kiev | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Poliglota | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonshine Runner | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love Hope Faith | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Mendel | 3.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speedreader | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Immortallove | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broderie | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girvin Girl | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atalanta Alexandra | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Defended | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Burnaway | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Turf Rocket | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Landy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St. Susan | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cate’s Charm | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chardan | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ryo Amazing | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Causeway’s Jewel | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | She Prospers | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leo Toro | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Worship | 1.80 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purrfect Girl | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Test Factor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arrogancy | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Heartbeat | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fregon | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Wonder | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Courtly Banker | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devil in Disguise | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Migratory | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notorious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Embrace the Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Far Bridge | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Score | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | California Frolic | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Novo Sol (BRZ) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancin in Da’nile | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Onenightstandards | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Conduct | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Napoleonic War | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big City | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Council | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Street | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Rich | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Military Road | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Still a Soldier | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tommy Two Socks | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Countryboysurvive | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Invigorated | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Canadian Tuxedo | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My G | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ashima | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | April’s Diamante | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sadie the Goat | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wow Lucky | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | On the Nile | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whatta World | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Skinny Cosmo | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fluid | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boomin’ Belle | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goats On a Tree | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Singing Sandra | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Blessing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Anajuliaforever | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Classify | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mauna Kea Bound | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holiday Fantasy | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gangly | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Soul | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Cool | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Iceman Runneth | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apocalypso | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belts ‘n Brooks | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dontlookbackatall | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Speedy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wide West (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Spicy | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | St. Pat’s Day | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blind Spot | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Darlin | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jokes Up | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Qualy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moanas Power | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Who Lady Who | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tramontane | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sister Honey | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exhilarate | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Past Tense | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Creed’s Gold | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pendulum | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Prowler | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Braid | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Her Diamonds | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alette d’Oro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.