Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Humble Joe | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Practicallymine | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rigatoni Ala Vodka | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rory’s Orchard | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rollin Deep | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pralinepopsbottles | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inside Secret | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He’s Incredible | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pardsy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Star | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ahsad | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizzen Man | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Devils Child | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smarthumor | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Reaching Stride | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elevenmonthslater | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Istria | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gormley Girl | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amalfi Lady | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlite in Heaven | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eclair Blanc | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nezy’s Girl | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noisy On the Bay | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J Willard | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sliver of Sunshine | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stella Mia | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tatum | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ferrari Kid | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Renegade Serenade | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party At Sam’s | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Love | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Forty | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Private Cabana | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Valiant Majesty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arlyne’s Crown | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Denali Rae | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arrogante | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ayeartoremember | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | That’stony’ssister | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eighty Eight Keys | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Side Up | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Combat Hoofs | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leretha | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dontpasstheprinces | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mikey’s Song | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undici | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Lucky Girl | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Lamb Chop | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goddess of Fortune | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bahiti | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blome | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Wonder | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Equistar | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Race Day | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hop On Me | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dewey Doit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonboots | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twist Her | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Smile | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Filtered Light | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dweller | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Betsy Is the Gal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stewie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Brother Charlie | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Action Hero | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sheer Dominance | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Craigh Na Dun | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jaknava | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secured Landing | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Deviant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rubidor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Biagio | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.