Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ana’s Gun | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreams She Dreams | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shirl’s Delight | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden War Dance | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Express | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| Ana’s Gun | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | April Antics | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lincolnville Beach | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solib | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My First Love | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starry Midnight | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diva Banker | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Best Bet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Trouble | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harvard | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patient Capital | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Narciso Dali | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ski Country | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Freeze Pop | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Bargaining Power | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Screw Loose | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Diem Z | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Screaming Uncle | 1.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Gun Maestro | 1.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Flashy Alex | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scotto | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dolce Veloce | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zhen Lou | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Smokeshow | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accelerina | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Reya | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mangia | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Queen | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Teresa | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jolly Miss Jill | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vegas Weekend | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cupids Girl | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cinderella’s Cause | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Jazz | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joey the Fish | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peachy Weachy | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triple P | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gringotts | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Disarmed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Base | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spun and Won | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twisted Ride | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joey Freshwater | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Listentoyourheart | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Price Is Truth | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Opening | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Irish Tenor | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Tweed | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Charmer | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toscano | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freedsdale | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Break the Fall | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Bosun | 4.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Boom Boom Thunder | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.