Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cooler King 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tejota 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Sixteen Cigarettes 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Norfie 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Smokin Bow 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Danley 30.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Purecrazigroove 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Etendre 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Thirty Pound Test 1.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 David’s Songs 12.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Ruby’s Big Red 10.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Souper Iconic 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Wine Goggles 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Franks Mimi 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Embrace the Dream 6.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Wingman Scott 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Basketball Jones 0 0-1
2 2 Basketball Jones 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Forwardly 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 This Dude a Breeze 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Las Olas 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Red’s Revenge 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Chacharero 30.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Hendrickson 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Ordinary 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Divine 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gioioso 2.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Reliable Lady 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Dreaming of Katie 1.40 4.8 9-1
5 5 Theforcebewithyou 30.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Reina Mar 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Gouldian 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ike’s Gamble 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 K Crown 6.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Cacique Abarrio 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Echo Lane 4.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Dontbesoogrouchy 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Mi Dinero 30.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Silent and Violent 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Darth 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Hot N Lucky 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Live High Live Low 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 El Matador 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cousin Kristi 0 0-1
3 3 Drifaros 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Love Appeals 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Imonra 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Cousin Kristi 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Starship Nala 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Music City Star 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Go Go Ge 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Designated Hitter 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Heathcliff 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Magicshadow 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Beyond Reproach 30.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Ice the Kicker 2.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 The Honeyman 3.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 Battle of Dover 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Awesome for Sure 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sigrun Fast Boy 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 The Great Oz 10.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Jerry’s Turn 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Alley Oop Johnny 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Smart Striker 8.00 2 4-1
8 8 Treasure King 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Dominate Themoment 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Maptitude 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.