Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Safe Bet 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hard Spun Fantasy 5.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Trabr’s Creed 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Sky Master 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Take My Allowance 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Keeneyes 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Cloud Without Rein 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Express Cruiser 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Painted Sunday 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Dancin Rocket 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Honest Opinion 2.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Chrome Candy 8.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Lead Foot 20.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Mr. Butch 15.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Coal Stone 15.00 7 13-1
13 13 Coach Sam P 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Blessed Vision 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 God’s Gift to Us 30.00 9.1 17-1
14 14 Streakin Deacon 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Willie Cat 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Kensington Cove 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Let’s Be Clear 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Chandana 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 I’m the Boss of Me 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Backyard Money 2.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Off Ramp 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Bennykayandsuzytoo 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Lover Girl 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Air Combat 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 After Five 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Drifter 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Good Scout 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Ian Glass 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Lightning Struck 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Santa Cruiser 4.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Threefiftyseven 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Golden Luna 30.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Happymac 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Big Swede 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Amoureux 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kokomo Starlet 4.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Predicting 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Sheza Shenanigan 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sky Raven 12.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 Brief Note 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Chuck Wills Widow 6.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Bent Halo 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 I Be Gone 30.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Marebell 30.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Cosmic Chic 30.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Southern Speight 30.00 12.1 23-1
14 14 Bodi Odi 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 J J’s Joy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Our Keepsake 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Motown Dynamic 1.60 1.2 2-1
3 3 Tanya Showers 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Spin the Breeze 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Bella Haze 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Happy N Smiling 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Best Cupcake 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 California Swing 4.00 1 2-1
1 10 Ego 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 6 Absolute Courage 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 1 Chisholm Trail 15.00 4 7-1
10 9 Twitty City 15.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Deep State 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Devoted to You 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Violent Gigi 20.00 5 9-1
12 12 Chelsea Dagger 4.50 5 9-1
4 3 Jim and Jim 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Georgia Deputy 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 7 Rosie’s Boy 30.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Make Noise 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Heir to Greatness 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bluelightspecial 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Corningstone 1.60 2.1 4-1
3 3 Stellar Lily 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Into Disco 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Windy Bay 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Frosty O Toole 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Bow Draw 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blue Ember 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Adamantly 4.50 4.1 8-1
10 10 Pneuma 6.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Dr. Woods Miracle 5.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Who Lu 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Graceful Moon 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Melania T 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Arden Ar 15.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Sophie’s Star 10.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Texas Sequoia 20.00 11.2 21-1
4 4 Jonesborohurricane 30.00 11.6 22-1
8 8 Honduras Passion 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.