Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ashley 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Not A Sinner (GB) 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Hannah Buckle (IRE) 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Motet 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Paradise Lake 3.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Sabres 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Criticism 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Notime for Squalls 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Hymnal 6.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Dashingly 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 De Joria 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Soul Sweet 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Flatterwithjewels 1.60 1.5 3-1
3 3 Vulin 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Roman Empress 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 A Broken Breeze 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bartholdy 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sorrento Sky (IRE) 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mr Fabricator 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Omey Island 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Legitify (IRE) 2.00 6 11-1
1 1 Hurricane Way 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Winsitwell 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Series 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Max’s Maxine 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Love My Candy 2.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Hot Lava Cake 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 4 Baby Bliss 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Devil D’ Oro 4.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Dandy Day 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Spicy Spouse 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Freedom Lass 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mirari 4.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Cornelia Fort 12.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Vincero Grande 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Musical Rhapsody (IRE) 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Luminiferous 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Lady Claypoole (IRE) 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Yarborough 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Sakura Flavor (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sand to Sea 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Eltonsingsanother 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Uncontrollable 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Irish Wahine 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Diamonds Danzing 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Sharp Ride 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Wilshire S.) – Wilshire S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stay and Scam 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nadette (FR) 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Turnerloose 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 School Dance 3.50 5.6 11-1
8 8 Leisurewear (IRE) 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Glenall (IRE) 12.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Adaay In Asia (GB) 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Selenaia (IRE) 4.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Ascendancy 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Thirty Carats 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Worthy of Magic 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Delitefull Hart 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Bangs 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Vitalera (CHI) 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Fayette Fox 3.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Miss Ives 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (American S.) – American S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Johannes 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Prince Abama (IRE) 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Air Force Red 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Sumter 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Fuerteventura 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Irideo (ARG) 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Genius Jimmy 15.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 War At Sea 6.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Parnelli 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.