Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | D Day Sky | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Connection | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Music | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Trumpet | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Causeway | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | I Am the Law | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lord Captain | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beachwalker | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aztec | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Optic Way | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Sagamore Mischief | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dot’s Dollar | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Business Model | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jake Rocks | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Heat | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Critical Threat | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honorary Degree | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Refuah | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magia Nera | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby the Tank | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wanna Winna | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Endowed | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masterwork | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ice Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Jungfrau | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Gun Maestro | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Arrebato | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Deputy Connect | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Atlanta’s Acuna | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Opportunity Set | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Papi On Ice | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sorpreso | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shinfull | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shoopthereitis | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roja Ligera | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maggie T | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Simple Sugar | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devilly | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luna Loca | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honest Banker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Looms Boldly | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Factually Correct | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saffa’s Day | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Masrour | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Emerald Forest | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thrill of It | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Kupp | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Showdown King | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Borletti (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notah | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Magnificent Mile | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Red D G P | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Whenlovetakesover | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Independent Paul | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Grant | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Muazarah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.