Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 No No No Never (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
7 6 Bolt’s Broad 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Irish Rose 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Den of Iniquity (GB) 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Kelly’s Out (IRE) 5.00 3 6-1
6 5 Well Funded 2.50 SCRATCH
5 98 Highly Desirable (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Ferociously 4.00 1 2-1
6 5 Tangledupingrey 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Soul of Midnight 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Trusty Rusty 6.00 2.4 4-1
10 9 Crowning Gold 15.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Magnificent Ride 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Flint Stroll 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Squalotoro 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Erebus 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 98 Tiz Tok 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dr. Soulfire 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Eddie’s Last 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Handsome Ticket 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Pioneer Prince 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Belmont Bill 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Sanger 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Vorpal 12.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 My Ransom 20.00 9 17-1
8 8 Man Child 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Palagio 4.00 1 2-1
6 5 Vegas Burner 2.50 1.1 2-1
8 7 Chasing Rain 10.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Feel the Magic 1.60 1.7 3-1
4 4 De’ Medici 4.00 2 4-1
7 6 Explosively 20.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Devilnthebluegras 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 98 Puddin Head Jones 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silver Surfer (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Paulliac (IRE) 4.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Seismic Spirit (IRE) 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Johnny Drama 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Ze’bul 5.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Stop and a Tres 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Kimmer 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Barsabas 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Into It 5.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Too Much Info 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Gostoso 4.00 1 2-1
9 7 Uplift 6.00 1 2-1
12 9 Spot D’ Oro 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 2 Eligio 3.50 1.5 3-1
7 5 Takamakahara 15.00 2.2 4-1
11 8 T One D Flour Free 12.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Sky Cloud 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 3 Scorpion Shot 8.00 8.5 16-1
6 4 Mongolian Frost 6.00 9.3 18-1
14 10 Centrifugal Force 15.00 10.5 20-1
3 98 Adebayo 0.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Drinks At the Club 0.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Square D’ Oro 0.00 SCRATCH
13 98 McClusky 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gregorian Chant (GB) 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Percolate (IRE) 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Man Friday 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Flavius 2.50 5.6 11-1
9 9 Time to Party 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Moody Jim (IRE) 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Comradery (IRE) 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Low Expectations 12.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Mastermind 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Atomic Drop 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 California Bay 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Nauvoo 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Spiritual Advisor 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Brazenly 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Speed Grazy 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Andy Can U Hear Me 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Dont Fight the Fed 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Buck Owens 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Crypto Ride 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Ang N Ash 8.00 1 2-1
12 11 Tianma 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 4 Ketonia (FR) 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Mo’s Vino Mesa 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Respect the Crown 8.00 3 6-1
11 10 Discrepancy 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Lovely Idaho 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Lady Cruiser 4.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Starlit Harbor 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Matina 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 So Far So Good 20.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Yellow Sun Dress 0.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Ace Ace Baby 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.