Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No No No Never (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bolt’s Broad | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Rose | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Den of Iniquity (GB) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kelly’s Out (IRE) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Well Funded | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Highly Desirable (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ferociously | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tangledupingrey | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul of Midnight | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trusty Rusty | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crowning Gold | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Magnificent Ride | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flint Stroll | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Squalotoro | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Erebus | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Tiz Tok | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Soulfire | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie’s Last | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Handsome Ticket | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Prince | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belmont Bill | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sanger | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vorpal | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Ransom | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Man Child | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Palagio | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vegas Burner | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chasing Rain | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feel the Magic | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | De’ Medici | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Explosively | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devilnthebluegras | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Puddin Head Jones | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silver Surfer (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paulliac (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seismic Spirit (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Drama | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ze’bul | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stop and a Tres | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kimmer | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barsabas | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Into It | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Much Info | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Gostoso | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Uplift | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Spot D’ Oro | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Eligio | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Takamakahara | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | T One D Flour Free | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Cloud | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Scorpion Shot | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mongolian Frost | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Centrifugal Force | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Adebayo | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Drinks At the Club | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 98 | Square D’ Oro | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 98 | McClusky | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Percolate (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Man Friday | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flavius | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Time to Party | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Comradery (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Low Expectations | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mastermind | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Atomic Drop | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | California Bay | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nauvoo | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spiritual Advisor | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brazenly | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speed Grazy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andy Can U Hear Me | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dont Fight the Fed | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buck Owens | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crypto Ride | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Ang N Ash | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tianma | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ketonia (FR) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mo’s Vino Mesa | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Respect the Crown | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Discrepancy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lovely Idaho | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lady Cruiser | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Starlit Harbor | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Matina | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | So Far So Good | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Yellow Sun Dress | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Ace Ace Baby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.