Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Laser Sharp 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Aleah Aleah 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Piccata Prince 20.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Arteta 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Two Tons of Fun 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Supremacy Clause 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Guile 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Mr. Papagiorgio 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Little Luca 0 0-1
4 5 Fortune’s Nephew 3.00 1 2-1
3 4 Laurel Valley 10.00 1.1 2-1
7 8 Kazmike 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Little Luca 1.80 1.8 3-1
6 7 Graywing 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 6 Sharpaz 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Persistent Danger 20.00 3.6 7-1
1A 3 Messi the Magician 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Candy Tycoon 0 0-1
4 4 Candy Tycoon 3.00 1 2-1
8 9 Digital 3.00 3 6-1
2B 6 Gut Feeling 2.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Majestic Eagle 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Striking Speed 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 8 Wild Banker 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Hang Tight 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 7 Life and Light 30.00 6.3 12-1
1A 10 Clem Labine 6.00 SCRATCH
2 3 Bourbon Calling 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Carter H. Presented By Nyra Bets) – Carter H. Presented By Nyra Bets

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Super Chow 0 0-1
3 3 Post Time 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Super Chow 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Whittington Park 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Castle Chaos 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Petulante 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Focus Pocus 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Five to Two 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Calling an Audible 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Miss Lao 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 My Kinda Mischief 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Al’s Ruby 3.50 7.8 15-1
1 1 Addagirl Addie 30.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Dubawi Wowie 15.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Pamplona Red 6.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Kaaterskill 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Distaff S.) – Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hot Fudge 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Fingal’s Cave 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Apple Picker 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Ain’t Broke 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Shidabhuti 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Royal Poppy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bendoog 0 0-1
6 6 Vespucci 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cascais 10.00 2 4-1
9 9 Mistical Curlin 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Reddington 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Summer Cause 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Bendoog 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Lucency 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Hero’s Medal 10.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Pricing Power 12.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Skylander 30.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Stjames 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Gazelle S.) – Gazelle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Whocouldaskformo 0 0-1
Where’s My Ring 0 0-1
9 9 Carmelina 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Life Talk 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Gin Gin 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Where’s My Ring 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Barbratina 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Whocouldaskformo 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Regulatory Risk 12.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Munny Grab 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Princess Vino 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Six Pack Senorita 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Bay Shore S.) – Bay Shore S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Reasoned Analysis 0 0-1
4 4 Maximus Meridius 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mission Beach 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Proprietary Trade 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Classic Joke 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Yo Yo Candy 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Augustine Red 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Shea D World 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Eliminate 8.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Ridgewood Runner 15.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Reasoned Analysis 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Wood Memorial S. Presented By Resorts World Casino) – Wood Memorial S. Presented By Resorts World Casino

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Deposition 0 0-1
Resilience 0 0-1
Protective 0 0-1
4 4 Deterministic 1.40 1 2-1
9 9 Tuscan Sky 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Elysian Meadows 15.00 4 7-1
13 13 Uncle Heavy 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 El Grande O 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Protective 30.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Resilience 6.00 8 15-1
7 7 Merit 20.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Gettysburg Address 30.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Evening News 20.00 10.5 20-1
11 11 Society Man 30.00 12.7 24-1
12 12 Deposition 50.00 12.8 24-1
3 3 Lonesome Boy 50.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Peony 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ariana Rye 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Better Be Smart 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Mary Union Ave 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Granadilla 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Spirit of Esther 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Mommasgottagun 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shehanah 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Savannah Dancer 50.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Find Your Joy 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.