Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourbon Society | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | El Magnifico | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elephants Ear | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Batten Down | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Banned for Life | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Society | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ask Arthur | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boat House | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eusebius | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guanare | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Pirate | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guanare | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bledsoe | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scatify | 0.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Billal | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knicks Storm | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mangione | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Mischief | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vesture | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lieutenant General | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Counter Attack | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Time | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Availability | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timeout | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carnitine | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bookie Brent | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | D’oro Unbridled | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bebedouro | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prince of Power | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miles Ahead | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classier | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bridleuptothebar | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Night Time | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prevalence | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surveillance | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Escape | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Artempus | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | El Rezeen | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Palomino | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tapakena | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stop the Press | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Telescopic | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thornbury | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cabernaydo | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thousand Springs | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Thomas | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Charm | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Kitty | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cyber Attack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cloudy Holiday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Commonwealth S.) – Commonwealth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Here Mi Song | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Frat Pack | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bo Cruz | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wico (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Richiesonaroll | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raise Cain | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Fast | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Minnesota Ready | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Manny Wah | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Austere | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pounce | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poolside With Slim (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Living Magic | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Buchu | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Simply in Front | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grecian Goddess | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dozen Diamonds | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kairyu (IRE) | 4.50 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing N Dixie | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Fox Givin | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Crown Imperial | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Resolute Racing Madison S.) – Resolute Racing Madison S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alva Starr | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Carpet Ready | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot and Sultry | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maryquitecontrary | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Pond | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vahva | 2.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Silver | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Icicles | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Shakertown S.) – Shakertown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beer Can Man | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Panther Island | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Shot | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Beat Brian | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arzak | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Yes I Am Free | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coppola | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sosua Summer | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Front Run the Fed | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Let My People Go | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eamonn | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mischief Magic (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mark of the Z | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Toyota Blue Grass S.) – Toyota Blue Grass S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Just a Touch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dornoch | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sierra Leone | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Money | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Epic Ride | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be You | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lat Long | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seize the Grey | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top Conor | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mugatu | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Encino | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Running Bee | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dominican Pioneer | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Accredit | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Master Piece (CHI) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Injunction | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitodan | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Atlantique | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camp Hope | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.