Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Afilada 0 0-1
3 3 Take Time to Dream 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lady Banker 1.60 1.9 4-1
2 2 Afilada 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Proper Grammar 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Alterina 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Bravo Regina 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 River Tay (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Belle of the Ball 1.40 2.7 5-1
4 4 Will Be Famous 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Voleuse 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Ghostly Girl 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Frannie Lew 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Walk With Me 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Stress Reliever 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Thirteen Red Flags 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 The Shoe Lady 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Mysaria 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Poseidon’s Mist 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Irish Jackson 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rayya Valentine 1.60 2.7 5-1
4 4 Shelly 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Dolce Sera 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Lavon 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Alley’s Song 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Lady Fortuna 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Camera 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Autumn’s Turn 10.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Save Time 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Catching Heat 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 I’m Thinking 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Cracklin Cat 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Yingle Bells 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Trafalgar 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Bourbon Calling 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Colloquy 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 First Glimpse 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Khafre 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Predicted 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Divine Armor 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Accretive 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 He’smyhoneybadger 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Maker’s Candy 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Winit 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Synthesis 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bold Endeavor 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rocket and Roll 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Union Lights 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Zapruder 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Disappearance 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Dads Good Runner 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Strong Light 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Thistle 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Uncle Water Flow 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.