Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 National Generaux (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 What a Dude 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Derecho Dandy 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Remote 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Mighty Kai 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 My Partner Glen 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Syntactic 5.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Mobe Town 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Hard Mission 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bossy Bruin Gal 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Warrior Lady 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Half Nelson 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Glory of Chrome 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Midnight Silence 1.60 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Proof She Zips 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Illhaveanotherkiss 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 True Patriot 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Satoshi 15.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Headed for Om 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Hey Demps 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Grazen in the Sun 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sweet Layla Rae 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 98 Lovin the Pavels 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Antonsen 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 The Big Cheeseola 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Dance Man 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 L Squared 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Capital Outlay 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Trotsky 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (John Shear S.) – John Shear S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heart Headed 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Miracle Mark 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Practically Broke 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 King of Gosford (GB) 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Raging Torrent 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Charge for Gold 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Nesso’s Lastharrah 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Belle Epoque 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Satellite Heart 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Kythira 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Dorie Miller 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 We’ll Do It Live 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Deficit Maja 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jane Kendeigh 3.00 1 2-1
11 10 Bit’s Tiger Magic 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Annie Fox 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Castagna 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Have Patience 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Breezy Blue 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 R Marilyn Lonhro 50.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Club Teaser 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Lady P 20.00 6.2 12-1
12 11 Epione 3.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Pippa Philipa 12.00 6.5 12-1
13 12 Raising Silver 6.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Nanci Griffith 15.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Ace Ace Baby 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lansdowne (GB) 0 0-1
4 4 Patron d’Oro 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Established 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 El Diablo Rojo 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Sai Con (FR) 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Lansdowne (GB) 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Heartfullofstars 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Afternoon Heat 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Angels Flight S.) – Angels Flight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Antifona (FR) 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Zona Verde (IRE) 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Laulne (FR) 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Alluring 12.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Girl of My Dreams 30.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 She Is Romantic 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Invincible Molly (GB) 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Rascality 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Avoir 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Thales 4.00 1 2-1
5 4 Mister Beams 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 D D S Express 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 American Cat 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Motorcade 3.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 John Dunbar 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Dutch Bus 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Famous Star 5.00 5.3 10-1
12 10 Running Tiger 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Tahoe Secrets 30.00 6.4 12-1
1 98 Midnight Mojo 0.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Gotcha Lookin 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ngannou 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Fast Chaz 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 American Glory (GB) 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Uncharted 30.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Shot of Courage 30.00 4 7-1
10 10 Nitti (IRE) 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 British Isles 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Siennois (IRE) 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 The Old Nine (IRE) 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Le Mans 8.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Triple Pass 15.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.