Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, April 10, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blue Eyed Soul (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Spiritual Lady 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Charm of the Song 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Goldys Lock 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Brownie Bay 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Gift Gorgeous 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Lady June 30.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 West Coast Harbor 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Up the Creek 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tuxedo Park 0 0-1
10 10 Tapirs Valor 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Raise the Bar 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Ace It 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sergeant Capps 20.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Mo Hair Sam 30.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Happyflyer 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Misbehavin 10.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Cupid’s Thunder 20.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Bottoms Up 30.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Akinmusire 30.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Tuxedo Park 5.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Enduring Spirit 8.00 6.1 11-1
15 15 Bostontonian 1.80 SCRATCH
14 14 Probale Ten 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Baytown Storm 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Classic Performer 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Best Seller 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 In Color 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 First Hill 3.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Itsablingthing 30.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Echo Foxtrot 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Center Stage 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Anna’s Wish 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Top of the Street 0 0-1
12 12 Top of the Street 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wauhatchie 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Photo Op 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Curlins Incharge 4.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Stately Order 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Vino Fa Danza 30.00 10 19-1
4 4 Moonovermontgomery 12.00 10.5 20-1
6 6 Quiet Rush 15.00 10.7 20-1
11 11 Accona 20.00 11.4 21-1
9 9 Battle Born 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cashmeup 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cause a Ruckus 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Money Memolo 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cool Operator 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Lomachenko 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Samarita 0 0-1
10 10 Samarita 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Goshen 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Protomagic 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Ghostly Night 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Forever Home 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Princesstapiture 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Storm Charging 15.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Mazoku 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Gin N Sin 20.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Banned From Midway 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Dissolved 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Coaches Meeting 15.00 1.3 2-1
15 15 Gamer 15.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Malibu Springs 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Carcano 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Overbore 20.00 5.6 11-1
13 13 Caroom 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mischievous Angel 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Exemplified 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Berrettini 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Battle of Normandy 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Porquerolles 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Aleman 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Passing Judgment 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Alexis Zorba (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tiverton (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Native Land 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Heartened 2.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Everdoit 12.00 3 6-1
9 9 Gamblers Tail 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Rocketeer 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Kitty Hawk 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 More Vino 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Facenda 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 San Siro 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pipeline 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Not Normal 12.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Lincoln Highway 15.00 2.4 4-1
14 14 He’s Got This 8.00 5 9-1
8 8 Woodcock Flight (IRE) 30.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Leave It to Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 High Tide 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 February Son 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 American Diamond 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bloodline 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Noises Off 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Brumba Waffle Toes 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Reckoning Force 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Deer District 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Belouni (FR) 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Greek Order (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.