Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Belts ‘n Brooks 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wednesdaynight Lad 1.80 1.3 3-1
2 2 Endless Sunset 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 This Run’s for You 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Major King 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Federal Exchange 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Nature Boy 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Safe Conduct 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hot Blooded 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Tallahatchiebridge 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Cashier Check 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Read On 1.60 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sir Seamus 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Winston Blue 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Undalay 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mr Narcissistic 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 The Connector 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Jackson’s Webb 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Free Smoke 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Devils Only Friend 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Pack Plays 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nana Fanny 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Peace Seeker 1.60 1.6 3-1
2 2 Radiant Gem 20.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 A Ring Thing 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Wicklow Gal 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mo Touring 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Velocissima 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fifty One Fifty 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Federal Highway 15.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Kohaku 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Modern Lane 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Leave It Blank 15.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Intransigent 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Fuji Fire 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Max Forward Speed 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Ahorsewithnoname 30.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Sioux 3.50 7.8 15-1
6 6 Blue Sky’s Syl 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Bolkin 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Marshmallow Queen 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Classic Ballad 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Unrelentless 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Llamarada 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Papaisice 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Fontina 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Heaven in Mind 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Esperon 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Heals the Soul 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 Jet Wings 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Commandant 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Zio Lorenzo 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Galipan 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Valiant Exchange 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spettro 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Born a Gambler 1.80 1.4 3-1
9 9 Kingfish Stevens 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 It’s Gravy 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Nantasket Beach 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Mufrih 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Exult 15.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 The Doorman 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Pluma Roja 30.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Surrogate 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.