Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Citizen Mack | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creation of Adam | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Model S | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King of France | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Arc | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viejo Verde | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lightline | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capital Idea | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corporate Power | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unique Insight | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brown Don’t Stop | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bounteous | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Operator | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allegrini | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | States United | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conniving | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Blanket | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Barron’s Bounce | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Z Dancer | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy Sweet Tooth | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clancy Fancy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boom Boom Thunder | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wo Hop | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Youbetterbejoking | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perliano | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal King | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Screw Loose | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Express | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game Misconduct | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Running Lucky | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tempermental | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silken Dollar | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queens Masterpiece | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harlan’s Bond | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racing Colors | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | True Empress | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Little Linzee | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Excellent Timing | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Radio Red | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Subrogate | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daufuskie Island | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Be the Boss | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Kool Kathmandu | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Kingdom | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bezos | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Got Thunder | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | What’s Up Bro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chocolate Shake | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Montebello | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Face Abarrio | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Newport Bridge | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fight Fiercely | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Worker | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flash Kiss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mudville Nine | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.