Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Citizen Mack 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Creation of Adam 0.80 2.1 4-1
5 5 Model S 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 King of France 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Majestic Arc 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Viejo Verde 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lightline 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Capital Idea 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Corporate Power 1.60 3.8 7-1
3 3 Unique Insight 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Brown Don’t Stop 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bounteous 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cool Operator 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Allegrini 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 States United 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Conniving 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Beach Blanket 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Barron’s Bounce 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Z Dancer 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Sandy Sweet Tooth 0.80 2.9 5-1
5 5 Clancy Fancy 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Boom Boom Thunder 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Wo Hop 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Youbetterbejoking 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Perliano 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Royal King 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Screw Loose 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Midnight Express 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Game Misconduct 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Running Lucky 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tempermental 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Silken Dollar 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Queens Masterpiece 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Harlan’s Bond 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Racing Colors 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 True Empress 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Little Linzee 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Excellent Timing 4.50 1 2-1
2 1 Radio Red 2.50 2.1 4-1
9 10 Subrogate 6.00 3 6-1
4 3 Daufuskie Island 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 8 Be the Boss 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 7 Kool Kathmandu 30.00 5 10-1
1A 6 Kingdom 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Bezos 50.00 SCRATCH
1 5 Got Thunder 10.00 SCRATCH
3 2 What’s Up Bro 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chocolate Shake 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Montebello 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Face Abarrio 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Newport Bridge 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Fight Fiercely 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Midnight Worker 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Flash Kiss 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mudville Nine 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.