Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gingersnap Jack 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Hey River 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Makizan 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 Solar Flash 30.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tapit’s Direction 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Bolkin 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Joel’s Boy 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Breath Deeply 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Torrefactor 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Dollar Liberty 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mensa 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rose Rita 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Tank 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Unchained Elaine 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Notthatbad 20.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Delightful Flame 1.60 2.6 5-1
5 5 Unfiltered Honey 20.00 3 6-1
8 8 Gabaldon 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Valiant Kiss 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 David’s Rose 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Trevess 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Flirtini 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Now Showing 1.80 4.6 9-1
5 5 Miss M M 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Moor Strength 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Restored Order 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Grand Journey 2.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Graded On a Curve 10.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Sir Terre 20.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Uncle Curly 4.50 3.4 6-1
12 12 Veterans Beach 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 My Man Flint 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Chapalu 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Momza 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tiz a Prince 30.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Dubby Dubbie 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Bringer of Rain 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Beach Ready 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bizymaline 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Linny Kate 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Boston Princess 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Worldly Beauty 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Khosea 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trumpets 1.60 1 2-1
9 9 Lucy’s Cookie 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Clay Soldier 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 The Dove Rules 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 On the Dot 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Face the Music 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Immortallove 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Evanora 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Little Minsky 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Waitlist 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Prevent 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Rapture Bay 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Hunt Ball 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Ninja Star 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Old Flag (IRE) 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Chryso Alogo 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Spicy Guacamole 0 0-1
4 4 Mobay Princess 20.00 1 2-1
9 9 Charlottes Road 2.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Gallop d’Hermes 10.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Baby Blocks 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Emily’s On Fire 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Spicy Guacamole 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Fear and Friday 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tiffany Gold 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Beautiful Thief 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.