Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Mattitude |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
9 |
Mama G’s Wish |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Moonsafe |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Bourbon Wildcat |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1A |
8 |
Sister Supream |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Ashlee’s Ring |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Bad Temper |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
7 |
Black Ice |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Devil Pays in Gold |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Money Room |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Common Prosperity |
1.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Elusive Image |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Army Cadet |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Veselsky |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bridge to Success |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
General J R |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
5 |
Charge to Victory |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Clubman |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Uncaptured Storm |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ace Nine Nine |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
8 |
Sevier |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Oxide |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Musical Heart |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
10 |
Ekati’s Verve |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Viking Queen |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
9 |
Cloud Music |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Costner |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Marty’s Magic |
8.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Intrepid’s Legacy |
1.40 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Minxzluckystarfyre |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stormy Seas |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Silk Suit |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Finger Roll |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tate |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bahama Channel |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Krug |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moon Warrior |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Strong Finish |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grand Manner |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Event Party |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miracle Silver |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Shackled Love |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Rocky Dice |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Summer Ready |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Irish Hero |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dats My Pharaoh |
20.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Myheartwillgoon |
30.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Westeros |
1.60 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Band Runs On |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Determined Candy |
3.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Elvis Himself |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Same Day as L J |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Irish Warlock |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Jester’s Song |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Outkissed |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
6 |
Guaponess |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Band Camp |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Neon Sign |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
10 |
Abuelo Paps |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Katie’s Notion |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
11 |
Gabriel Seven |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Battle of Bastogne |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
9 |
Sunset Town |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Extra Dirty |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shared Authority |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
T C Neigh |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Kapadokya |
1.80 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Buckin’ Lucky |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sippin’ Time |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maximum Emily |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cundi |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Valley Star |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Any Fools Gold |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Paperback Edition |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Life At Both Ends |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Winkiwinki |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Zeta |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Haleigh B |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bella Bettina |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fuhgeddaboudit |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chickieness |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Baba |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Champagne Dance |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pudd’n N Pie |
1.80 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Harmonizing |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
12 |
12 |
Bullitina |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Skip Thru Da Fire |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Something Silly |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pretty Coast |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Martha’s Heart |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Leave Drama Behind |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Confluence Lassie |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Faith and Liberty |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Breaking Rules |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.