Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Captain Jack | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pressure | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | League of Legends | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Ticket | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ram | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Constitution | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Bourbon | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colorful Native | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Miss Terre | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Dance My Way | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Zongs Irish Frost | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sky Raven | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Littledabwilldoo | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Miss Mo Mesa | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Mitolemybelle | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Frosty Vi | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Secret City | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Cross | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Breathtaking Folly | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Always Be Smart | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chun Money | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nullify | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Melt With You | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Major Mack | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Penrod | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Form | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cravensworth | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Super Renzo | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impressor | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Asymmetric | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bordinos | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Line Overdrive | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Worththemoney | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Icon | 4.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Berley | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fastened | 3.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bobwhite Bobby | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Sweet Thang | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harleezy | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Sunset | 1.60 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Flat | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dance Some Mo | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Long Crow | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Racy Bille | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caballo Feliz | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Flight | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Ride | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uninvited Guest | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outlier | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Search Engine | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Reds | 1.60 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Centurian | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Im the Machine | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stomping Hotrod | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heritage Park | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Vee Cee | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Choctaw Zip | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Shake Up | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Forsaken | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Macho Rocco | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Campisi | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reef’s Destiny | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Obviously Too | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Barton | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aspen Club | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allo Enry | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood Bye | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Lass | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Priddis | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Good Fortune | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paris Style (FR) | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Makemebelieve | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bump in the Night | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Parade | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grazia | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Floating Beauty | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Gal | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brooklynn Drew | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freeburn | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Moscato | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aztec Empress | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlit Lady | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Creme de La Chrome | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slam Dunk Sermon | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charter Oak | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Communication Memo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cibolo | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lamutanaatty | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Black Storm | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Under the Gun | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colt Fiction | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mister Sharpie | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Tuff | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Kid Shelleen | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rare Stripe | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pull My Chain | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| Communication Memo | 16 | 30-1 | |||
| Communication Memo | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.