Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Hydra | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trade Secret | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backed by Gold | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Diva Banker | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Peachy Weachy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freddymo Factor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Killy Start | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eastern Star | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mommasgottagun | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mulkey | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lake Abanakee | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Fiere | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden War Dance | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Assume Nothing | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Debate | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Atlas | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Night Effect | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fighting Back | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capital Conquest | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Safalow’s Mission | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackson Heights | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Friday I’m in Love | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Horse Be With You | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flip’s Dream | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Financial District | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twelth Man | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Spirit | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Cay | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Plate Special | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anthracite | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Cup | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bad Larry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr Bob | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scilly Cay | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Flint Ridge | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | American Gentleman | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Majestic Frontier | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Gentleman Joe | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Dangerous Ride | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vin Santo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sorority Prank | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aelfgar | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Boss | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bob John Ray | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slow Down Big Andy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hagrid’s Flame | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Metatron | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dillon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Vargo | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Phil | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Motion to Strike | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heir Port | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Horn of Plenty | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | F F Rocket | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Breaking Stones | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joker Boy | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anything Pazible | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | He Has It All | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Judge Rules | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Berning Beauty | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inonit | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unaffected | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Merlin’s Moment | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mugsy Fury | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Man Ira | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Magic | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.