Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Hayek | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Mamba Out | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Tiz Sweet Candy | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Savage Darling | 1.40 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Subway Susie | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Dare Me | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rye Munny | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Coromandel | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Charlottes Way | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spurrier | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Uncle Leon | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mahoney Road | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Otto Go | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vale | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Ghent | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Smitty Run | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tirico | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer in Aiken | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Raymond | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin’ Hot | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luv to Win | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Full Authority | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Square Deal | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starburst | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiger Dad | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wyfire | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get Back Goldie | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Otis Otis Otis | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Auden | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | P R Call Me Maybe | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rocket Night | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Heights | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sagittarius | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ambiguous | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impeccability | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Darvesh | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Be Happy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| Impeccability | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hess | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calrissian | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Interlock Empire | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pando | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artwell | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go Cats | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magna Tap | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamic Sun | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deluca | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Yell County | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jester Sang | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Bid | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | World Fair | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brownstone | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elko County | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tornado Road | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo El Grande | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lear | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corporal | 2.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sunday Spirit | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cadillac Cowboy | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Corked | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Young Jonesboro | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon On Fire | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Max | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barrel Thief | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Auto Dial | 1.40 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Without Objection | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Native Moonshine | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Scott City | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Mike | 12.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Statler | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Count Fleet Sprint H.) – Count Fleet Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Skelly | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ryvit | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jaxon Traveler | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Is a Choice | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tejano Twist | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Code Five | 50.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Wide Awake | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Dude | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alexander Helios | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eternally Grateful | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Megan’s Honor | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sara’s Shaman | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Onthestage | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Heist | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Game Keeper | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mackman | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Recker Point | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trigger Happy | 5.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seas of Normandy | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Heated Argument | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mozingo | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timbavati | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Punchy Girl | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Lass | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Carroll County | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Music Mistress | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Girl in Red | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delta Moon | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Way Or Another | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runninthestreets | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Apple Blossom H.) – Apple Blossom H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Free Like a Girl | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wet Paint | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adare Manor | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Connection | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honor D Lady | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shotgun Hottie | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bellamore | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taxed | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misty Veil | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| Adare Manor | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Time Andbeyond | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moneystrike | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Honor | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Streakin Deacon | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Echo | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | All Green Lights | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | It’s a Rainy Day | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mandatory Mission | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Great Barrier | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Red River | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Chrome’s Echo | 4.50 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tarps Storm | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blessed Vision | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Changing Times | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.