Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 She’s Awesome 0.80 1 2-1
1 4 Taming the Tigress 0.80 1.5 3-1
4 3 Violent Vixen 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 2 Slack Tide 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Willful Desire 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 7 Ruvies in Time 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Timed Out 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Sweet Mystery 3.50 1 2-1
1 4 Virtual Reality 0.60 2.2 4-1
1A 6 Pitch Clock 0.60 2.8 5-1
3 2 Mongolian Panther 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Risk Free 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 7 Very Practical 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Midtown Lights 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Top Flight S.) – Top Flight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tizzy in the Sky 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Comparative 1.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Movie Moxy 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Spiked 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Towhead 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Book of Wisdom 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sendera 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Call Her Bluff 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Turnupthemusic 5.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 She’s a Natural 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Happy’s Smile 10.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Troubled Luck 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Island Fox 3.50 7.9 15-1
2 2 Top of the Table 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Freedsdale 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Antonio of Venice 1.80 1.9 4-1
5 5 Black Almighty 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Doc Sullivan 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Heavyweight Champs 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Cable Ready 30.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Grand Opening 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Group Eighteen 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Daddy Knows 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Durkin’s Call 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Blake B. 4.00 5 9-1
9 9 El Hermano 3.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 Nobodyridesforfree 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Grumps Little Tots 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Prince of Joy 30.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Bold Medication 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Datesfreedom 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tough Street 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Efficacious 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Starship Defiant 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Frau Diablo 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 It Takes Heart 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Dame Cinco 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Into Happiness 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Sweetest Princess 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sohana 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 My Shea D Lady 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Fast and Frisky 4.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Bustin Time 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Handle On You 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Sunday Girl 2.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Baroness Bourbon 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Jay’s Love 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Necessaryandproper 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Stormin Heist 5.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Steppin’ Hawk 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Dream On Cara 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Majestic Laura Ann 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Jen’s Kiss 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Houdini’s Bride 3.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Frankie’s Rose 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Justheart 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Alotta Jays 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Account Receivable 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.