Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Haberdashery 0 0-1
4 4 Summer Storm Stric 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 Admiral’s Wave 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Hendrickson 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Crypto Man 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Haberdashery 30.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 The Mar 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Iron Man Jimmy 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 St. Joe Louis (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Red Hot Spark 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Mas Vino 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cosmic Symphony 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 For the Thrill 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Miss Athletic 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Ghoz On 2.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Patty’s Having Fun 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Holy Kingdom 30.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Sand Wedge 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Royal Aberdeen 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tinki Abarrio 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lady Max 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Danzit 1.60 3.8 7-1
2 2 Laurie Blue 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Silver Moonlight 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Tap My Belle 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Ash Wednesday 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Corona Princess 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Real Talk 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Maptitude 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Float On 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Scaramanga 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Luni Sima 1.40 3.7 7-1
4 4 Top Recruit 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Awesome Crusader 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Alybaer 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mr Brizel 15.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Backchat 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Citizen K 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Frank’s Art 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Motivo 30.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Victors Valiant 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Unequivocally 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bivol 20.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Bold Ambition 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Goodstone 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mekele 30.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Carentan 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Vintage Vino 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mellifluous 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Valued Cajun 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Last Episode 0 0-1
1 1 Last Episode 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Pacific Front 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Street View 3.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Spirit in the Mist (FR) 30.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Tina Ballerina 30.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Jillaroo 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 American Kestrel 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Streeterville 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Victory Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mama Bella 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mer Soleil 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mailman Money 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Thought 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Eastside Cool 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Bank Frenzy 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Noble Drama 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Coppermaster 4.50 7 13-1
5 5 Cacciatore 1.40 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Candy Gray 1.40 1 2-1
8 8 Jayana 15.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Dot 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Just Great 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Caress 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Belle’s Blue Bell 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Miuccia 3.00 7 13-1
6 6 Tally’s River 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Charge Off 1.40 1 2-1
9 9 Flat Cap 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Joint Resolution 4.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Rebel Jackson 30.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Cloak and Dagger 30.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Noble Tiger 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Baltic Prince 30.00 6 11-1
8 8 We Got This 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Muntaliq 8.00 7.2 14-1
14 14 Rags Special 30.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Tufnel 12.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Teofimo 30.00 9.4 18-1
15 15 Dither 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Fight Til Dawn 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Grand Tower 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Thingsrgettinharry 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.