Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Delphia | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Commander | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fearless Kristie | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tyrona | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Code for Success | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Bayou | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Music | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Reup | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystery Man | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whooping Jay | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wyfire | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palace Kitten | 1.60 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verb | 2.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desoto’s War | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pull My Chain | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Show Me the Candy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | January Jubilee | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ronnie’s Deal | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chip Shortage | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Ella | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready for Trouble | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Singsational | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Saipan | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Union Dame | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tandi Sue | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run for Home | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mor Happy Hours | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suena | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Natty Patty | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Line Runner | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palmilla’s Bet | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cactus | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Balsa | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Absolute Chaos | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crocodile Tears | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speightsville | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power Alley | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Husker Butch | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Majesty | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Indulge | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Black Apple | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lochmoor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Navy Seal | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Man in the Can | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Sky | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stuck N Snow | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dinner At Crumpies | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cybertown | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ronaldinho | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hailstorm | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coach Jimi D | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charbon | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capital Connection | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gimmeethreesteps | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storms Home | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Okie Clipper | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go the Distance | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Code Five | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | W W Scout’s Honor | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manta Rey | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vodka Martini | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breslau | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cathedral Beach | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plausible Denile | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Taxes | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chiringo | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Maestro | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Outlaw Run | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Brother Mike | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | I Got a Guy | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strickland | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Heavenly Gift | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Is My Boy | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You’re On Mute | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get Away With It | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boots N Bourbon | 50.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Equate | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devil’s Shadow | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stillbilly | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rainbow Man | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captive Audience | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| Captive Audience | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.