Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, April 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Low Country Magic 0 0-1
6 6 Sanctify 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Two Lucys 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Razzle Red 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Vino Veloce 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Honors Legacy 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Low Country Magic 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Shetalkstoangels 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 All West 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Shortlist 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Trending Up 6.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Nicholas Jones 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Candy for Carmel 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 The Thunderer 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Kahala 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Code Runner 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Mobster Gun 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Boitano 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ministerial 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kara and Colleen 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Foreseen 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 A Dollar a Day 20.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Dynamism 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Neon Icon 3.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Streetwhereyoulive 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Strummin 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Fortheloveofrun 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Jet Sweep Joe 3.50 5.6 11-1
7 7 Charlie Tolu 30.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Probale Ten 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Baytown Boo Boo 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Mister Woodford 15.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Into Inspiration 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Bostontonian 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Deeply Hidden 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sackett 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Listening 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Blenheim Baby 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Baytown Lovely 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Rapping Wish 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Dancing Nancy 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 I Gotta Bolt 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Crystal Symphony 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Outofnothingatall 3.00 5 9-1
5 5 Fast Gal 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Run Run Rabbit 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Popperina 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Marmalade Skye 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 De’ Ans Eighty 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Little Sister Sue 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Crackalacking 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mrs. Rip 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 What Say Thee 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Weyhill Road 4.50 1.4 3-1
12 12 Porquerolles 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Pike Place 12.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Horace Mann 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Royal Mende 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Caroom 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Now and Later 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Bolt From Above 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Passing Judgment 30.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 El Ahijado 50.00 8 15-1
15 15 Marquet Malice 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Raise High 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Aleman 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tiverton (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Olivier 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Trumptastic 1.80 1.3 3-1
4 4 Kissthemoon 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Indy Magic 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Patriarchal 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bernin Hot 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Contemplation 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Practical Thought 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.