Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Golden Skull 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 This Run’s for You 1.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 All About Lucky 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Fort Attitude 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Exalted Charm 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Federal Exchange 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Nature Boy 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Street Charity 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Lunetta Jak 30.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Boot’s On the Moon 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Cairnhill 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Union Harmony 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Sprezzatura 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Uncaptured Dove 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Proverb 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Uranium 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Wind Ninety Nine 8.00 4 7-1
6 6 Super Curioso (ARG) 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Doc Amster 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Storm Brave 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Quincy Cafe 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Crimson Princess 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Madaket’s Arrow 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Busy Morning 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Chicken Parm 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Lady Cha Cha 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Where’s Emma 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Carrington 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lte Stark Winter 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Vayesta 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Miss Holly 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Cabernet 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Spanish Girl 30.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Lucevan La Stelle 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Allovernow Babyblu 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Jess’s Moment 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Time Miss 8.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Awesomely Wild 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grand David 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Swan Lake 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Night Jumper 30.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Bringer of Rain 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Sand Dancer 1.60 3.2 6-1
5 5 Gliding Afleet 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Uncle Armando 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Roi Soleil 0 0-1
1 1 Apollo Ten 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bonus Move 1.20 1.5 3-1
2 2 Split Strike 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Atmidnight 30.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Roi Soleil 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 King Skull 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lighting Clouds 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rocket Dragon 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Iron Man Jimmy 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dropkick Murphy 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Academy Choice 1.40 2.2 4-1
6 6 Harrington 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Lieutenant Stan 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Tie Breaker 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Sterling Harmony 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Austonian 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.