Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 19, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lumenique 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Looks First 1.40 2.4 5-1
5 5 That’sthefactjack 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Isn’t She Khozy 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Maggie’s Song 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Yingle Bells 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shesalittle Edgy 1.20 1 2-1
1 3 Gone and Forgotten 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Remain Anonymous 6.00 2.1 4-1
1A 6 Bank On Anna 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 1 Jackie the Joker 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 7 Dolce Sera 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Mursal 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Dylan’s Ruby 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 In a Minute 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 3 Stormquist 2.00 3.7 7-1
1A 6 Remember the Name 2.00 4.6 9-1
6 7 Heard On Thestreet 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 1 Mad Banker 5.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Retail Man 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Jake Rocks 12.00 1 2-1
1 2 Beachwalker 1.80 1.1 2-1
3 3 Tetsu 8.00 1.4 3-1
5 6 Ryan’s Cat 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 7 Seven Nation Army 5.00 SCRATCH
1A 5 Kant Beat the Rock 1.80 SCRATCH
2 1 Hot Rod Rumble 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Capone 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Betta Go Go Go 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Don Vino Vici 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Play 1.40 2.3 4-1
8 8 Mr. Georgie 12.00 3.4 7-1
9 9 Castlecove Spirit 30.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Gold ‘n’ Scarlet 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Polish Up 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Mr. Papagiorgio 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Brindano 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Principe d’Oro 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Beary Funny 2.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Ice Road 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Petrolo 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Golden Purchase 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Phantom Jewel 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 I Love Cara 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Waralo 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Fortune’s Nephew 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Messi the Magician 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Starquist 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bourbon’s Hope 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Prince of Truth 3.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Dr. Kraft 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Watch Hill 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Solo Tonight 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 I’m Just 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Janssen 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Frankie R. 30.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Irie Man 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Arco Augusta 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Mortgage Rate 20.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Spoken Bluntly 8.00 10 19-1
2 2 Triple Word Score 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.