Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 19, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Special Club 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Vodka Vodka 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Defensor Fortis 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Bert’s Prospect 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Rhino 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Vols 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Maxville 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yo Yo Mama 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Warren’s Wild Ride 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Keychain Girl 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Whimsical Heir 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Crown of Hope 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Macho Queen 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Zzyzx 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Naismith 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Outgunned 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Mobe Town 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Quagmire Magic 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 The Giants Candy 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Des Doigts 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Raising Silver 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ryder’s Candy 8.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Willow Cove 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Flash That Smile 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Made to Move 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bessie Coleman 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Moonlight Tryst 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Danzing Flyer 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Exultation 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Hot Box 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Jetovator 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Disko Tribute 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Seventeen Black 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Mynumerouno (AUS) 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Indian Peak 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Atomic Drop 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mike Operator 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Mitico 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Zimba Warrior 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mastermind 20.00 3 6-1
5 5 Big Buzz 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Nauvoo 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Neon Lights (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lemon Sushi 5.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Eddie’s Last 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Father Delay 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 I’m a Lucky Man 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Kid Azteca 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 John Dunbar 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Potential Spam 0 0-1
10 10 Big Drinker 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Soldatna 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Chrome to Riches 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Audible Silence 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Luther Pass 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Potential Spam 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Tapit Down 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Toppers Wager 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Classic Alphie 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Running for Cosi 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Phenom 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Teen Drama 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Unwritten Code 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Rebalation 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Paleo’s Princess 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Yolo Calls 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Woodbine Way 10.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.