Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Light the Way 8.00 1 2-1
5 6 Cage Match 1.60 3.2 6-1
4 5 Aleah Aleah 10.00 3.4 6-1
1A 3 Contrary Thinking 1.00 4.3 8-1
6 7 Mano E Mano 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 8 Discreet Bnb 30.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Treaty Obligation 1.00 SCRATCH
3 4 Frostelle 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Love Like Crazy 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Army of Thoughts 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Ghostly Girl 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Proper Grammar 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Shasi 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Keep It Sexy 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Rosemary Potatoes 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silver Satin 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Hey Toby 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Schlomo 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tomacon 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Artful Dreamer 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Shore Time 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Boss Tweed 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Winning Connection 2.00 1 2-1
4 3 Arrebato 4.00 2.6 5-1
1A 7 Edge of Glory 1.60 3.4 6-1
5 4 Uncle Water Flow 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 8 Disappearance 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Union Lights 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Strong Light 30.00 6.2 12-1
1 6 Jeeper 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grayosh 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Chantilly Road 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Colorful Lady 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Wish List 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Wake Up Lauren 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Just One More 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Classic Cara 50.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Blue Thunder (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Just Music 1.20 SCRATCH
4 4 Big Beautiful (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Clubhouse 2.00 1 2-1
3 2 Pineapple Man 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 7 Independent Paul 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Nineteen Oysters 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Upside Potential 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Warrior Richard 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 9 Lookin’ Super 12.00 5.6 11-1
1A 8 Kant Beat the Rock 4.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Leonids 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blazing Sevens 0.80 1 2-1
1 4 Power Seeker 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Artorius 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Ournationonparade 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Full Screen 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Synthesis 12.00 5 9-1
1A 7 Lord Captain 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Danger’s Hour S.) – Danger’s Hour S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Masen (GB) 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spirit of St Louis 1.60 1.8 3-1
7 7 Dakota Gold 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Pioneering Spirit 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tidal Forces 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Equitize (GB) 4.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bring Me a Check 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Heaven Street 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Ouster 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beach Cruiser 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Astonesthrowaway 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Scarlet’s Dream 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Concerti 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Bussia 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Rumint 15.00 7 13-1
12 12 U Should B Dancing 10.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Lady of Thoroton 15.00 8 15-1
14 14 Quick Power Nap 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bern Rosey Bern 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Latest Edition 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Succulent 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Highway Harmony 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pauciloquent 50.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dusk 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Gram 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.