Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Light the Way | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Cage Match | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Aleah Aleah | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Contrary Thinking | 1.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Mano E Mano | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Discreet Bnb | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Treaty Obligation | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 4 | Frostelle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Like Crazy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army of Thoughts | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghostly Girl | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proper Grammar | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shasi | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep It Sexy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rosemary Potatoes | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Satin | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Toby | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Schlomo | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tomacon | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artful Dreamer | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shore Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Boss Tweed | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Winning Connection | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arrebato | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Edge of Glory | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Uncle Water Flow | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Disappearance | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Union Lights | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Strong Light | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Jeeper | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grayosh | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chantilly Road | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colorful Lady | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wish List | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wake Up Lauren | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just One More | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Cara | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Thunder (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Just Music | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Big Beautiful (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Clubhouse | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pineapple Man | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Independent Paul | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nineteen Oysters | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Upside Potential | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Warrior Richard | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Lookin’ Super | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Kant Beat the Rock | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Leonids | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Sevens | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Power Seeker | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Artorius | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ournationonparade | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Full Screen | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Synthesis | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Lord Captain | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Danger’s Hour S.) – Danger’s Hour S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Masen (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit of St Louis | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dakota Gold | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneering Spirit | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tidal Forces | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Equitize (GB) | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bring Me a Check | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heaven Street | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ouster | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beach Cruiser | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Astonesthrowaway | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlet’s Dream | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Concerti | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bussia | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rumint | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | U Should B Dancing | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady of Thoroton | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Quick Power Nap | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bern Rosey Bern | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Latest Edition | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Succulent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Highway Harmony | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pauciloquent | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dusk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Gram | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.