Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Put the Crazy Away 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 She’s Always Rosie 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Golden Degree 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Lady Aberdeen 2.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 West Coast Harbor 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Tan Lines 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Gift Gorgeous 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Ms I Speight 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Princess Is Olivia 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Aaralyn 6.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Up On the Edge 4.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Zen Moment 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Classy’n Connected 4.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Above All Else 30.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Evocation 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Ice Water 6.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Penny’s Smile 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Queen Anna T 20.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Sailing 12.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Winakaching 8.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr Skylight 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Motor City 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Iridescent 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 One Red Cent 30.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Knicks Storm 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Nave 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Baraye 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Flower 3.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Candy Bar 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Numero Seis 20.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Work of Fiction 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Twirl Around 10.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Cadencia 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Ruthless Rua 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Best Kiss Yet 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Cloudwalker 4.50 6.9 13-1
15 15 Wild Irish 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Gold Del Mar 20.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Musical Prayer 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tivali 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 My Girl Ginger 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Saqeel 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Direct Line 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Systemic Change 2.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Fromanothamutha 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Bird King 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Divine Armor 4.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Beyond Best 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Crazy Legs Hirsch 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hunter Scott 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Misread 8.00 1 2-1
12 12 Olivia Maralda (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Glittering Lights (GB) 15.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Woohoo Jackie Blue 15.00 2 4-1
11 11 Pleasant Passage 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Samay (PER) 20.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Sacred Wish 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 One Silk Stocking 15.00 2.9 5-1
13 13 Storm Bay 15.00 4 7-1
6 6 Moon Ray (FR) 50.00 5 9-1
15 15 Quality Star 12.00 5.8 11-1
16 16 Sara Mia 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 American Retro 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cahira’s Blessing 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Freydis the Red (FR) 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Vernet (IRE) 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Halstyn Rose 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sarir 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Alicit Intention 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Soundbite 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Oh My Mia 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Justify Perfection 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Illusion 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Flightning Bolt 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 She’s Wicked Smart 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Visitlex Elkhorn S.) – Visitlex Elkhorn S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wentru 30.00 1 2-1
3 3 Highland Chief (IRE) 5.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 Silver Knott (GB) 8.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Missed the Cut 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 King Curlin 30.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Bold Act (IRE) 1.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 The Grey Wizard (IRE) 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Dynadrive 20.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Lucky Curlin 50.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Foreign Relations 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Winning Spirit (GER) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Ben Ali S.) – Ben Ali S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kingsbarns 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Surly Furious 10.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Time for Trouble 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Smile Happy 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 War Campaign 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Laughing Boy 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Archie the Giza 30.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Dynamic One 8.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Happy American 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Proud Mary 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Caberneigh 20.00 1.5 3-1
12 12 Parola Sicura 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Fast Lani 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Empires Princess 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Definite Diva 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sweet Dutchess 5.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 All I Want Is You 10.00 4 7-1
1 1 Golden Dagger 3.50 4.5 8-1
10 10 Integrated Design 50.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Bobbie Sox 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Agent 20.00 8.3 16-1
15 15 Sandra D 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Italian Ivy 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Makeup 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.