Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Beef Winslow 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Zoffarelli (IRE) 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Lovesick Blues 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Player B 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sharp Aza Tack 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Mas Rapido (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ms McWhinney 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Precipice 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Sabres 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 I’m Still in It 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Yellow Sun Dress 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Jai Ho 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 In Without Knockin 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Kimberly’s Devil 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Collectively 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nuclear 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Normandy Landing 1.80 1.3 3-1
2 2 Fast Chaz 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Duran 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Mongolian Gold 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Western Grit 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Travelin’ Show 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Motivating Force 4.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 J Dutton 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Just a Graze 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Capital Outlay 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Ignatowski 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Lucky N Smart 10.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Datsyuk 8.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Mucho Suerte 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Soul of Midnight 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fifty Cinco 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Tiz Tok 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Seattle Breakout 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Aurelian Man 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Bravestone 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Erebus 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moon Ice 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Antibes 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Unusual Measure 20.00 3 6-1
7 7 Ghostly Act 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Finners Goldnsense 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Handsome Red 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Charley Pride 3.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Dapitan Star 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Drive for Show 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 The G M 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Californian S.) – Californian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Judge Miller 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Mixto 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mr Fisk 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 None Above the Law 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Mystification 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Providencia S.) – Providencia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Medoro 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Shiloh’s Mistress 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Circle of Trust 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Pink Whitney 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 English Danger 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Brand New Dream 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Sakura Blossom 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lamporghini 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Man O Rose 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Fifth Street 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Princip 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Hard to Figure 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Sully 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Pop d’Oro 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Thorne House 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Kangaroo Court 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Calm Sea 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Better Than Gold 5.00 2.5 5-1
10 9 Order and Law 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 One of These Days (IRE) 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Goldeneye 12.00 4 8-1
8 7 Lincoln Hawk (IRE) 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mo Rewards 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Bee Catcher 30.00 6 11-1
6 98 Heywoods Beach 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.