Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mangia 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Quiescent 0.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Firing Fast 0.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Nay Slayer 0.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Prugova 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Majestic Laura Ann 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brick Ambush 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Quiet Wisdom 0.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Boss Three O Two 0.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Land d’Oro 0.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Bali Amour 0.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Manny Penny 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Run Devil 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jolly Miss Jill 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Suspended Campaign 0.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Joey the Fish 0.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Sweet as Sugar 0.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Gringotts 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Vegas Weekend 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Apuro 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Crown That Saint 0.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Piccolo Diavolo 0.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mithridates 0.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Shakin the Belle 0.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Swept 0.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Pappou’s Laugh 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Prankster 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Icy Flavor 0.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Russi 0.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Allied Attack 0.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Image of Quality 0.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Slammin Gold 0.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Li’l Lang 0.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Please Be Nice 0.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Kreesa 0.00 6 11-1
9 9 Sandrone 0.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Financial District 0.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Sinful Dancer 0.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Collected Special 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Five to Two 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Calling an Audible 0.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Margaux Treasure 0.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Aunt Yola 0.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Ekwanok 0.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 She’s a Natural 0.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Purpose 0.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 La Decente 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Plenty Of Grace S.) – Plenty Of Grace S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spirit And Glory (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sunset Louise 0.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Marvelous Maude 0.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Midnight Mile (IRE) 0.00 3 6-1
4 4 Tass 0.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Movie Moxy 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Venti Valentine 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Silver Skillet 0.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ocean Gateway 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Coast Along 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Black Diamond 0.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Primed to Go 0.00 2.9 5-1
12 12 Be There 0.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 First Trumpet 0.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Triumphant Road 0.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Party With Smarty 0.00 4 7-1
6 6 Glint 0.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Risk Tolerance (IRE) 0.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Kick a Buck 0.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Battle of Britain 0.00 5.4 10-1
13 13 Dangerous Driver 0.00 6.6 12-1
14 14 Remember the Chief 0.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sounds Like Fun 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.