Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 No Valla 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Big Band Luzziann 0.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Judge Judith 0.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Founder’s Day 0.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Okay Fine 0.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Starry Hope 0.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Musical Romance (GB) 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bernardo’s Legacy 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Paisan 0.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Sir Banana Brian 0.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Mister Cooper 0.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Anadolu 0.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Xy Face 0.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Jake’s Affection 0.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Walking Testimony 0.00 4 8-1
6 6 Royal Aberdeen 0.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Bourbon Warrior 0.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Amazing Woo 0.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Southern Civility 0.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Stable Storm 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Vito’s Brother 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Devil At Midnight 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mywifeknowsitall 0.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Sugar Treat 0.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Special Affair 0.00 2 4-1
3 3 Naughty Favors 0.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Kaitie Kait 0.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Miguel’s Belle 0.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Nicky Jolene 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alfio 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pure Speight 0.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Holiday Fantasy 0.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Belts ‘n Brooks 0.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Vikram 0.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Redisur 0.00 5 9-1
7 7 Cobble Road 0.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Menelik 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sogno Di Campione (CHI) 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rough Draft 0.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mr Crowley 0.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Napoleonic War 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Henley’s Joy 0.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Alley Oop Johnny 0.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Happy Runner 0.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Souper Energizer 0.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Sword Zorro (IRE) 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gridlock 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Great Venezuela 0.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Laconia 0.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Fast Motion 0.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Condora 0.00 5 9-1
5 5 Reassess 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 On the Dot 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Big Dreamer 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Foggy Note 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 One of One 0.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Lexi’s Spirit 0.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Princess Blakely 0.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Bon Dia 0.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Black Belt Barbie 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Kozem 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Perhaps Tonight (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sugar Fix 0.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Thirty Thou Kelvin 0.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Forever Dixie 0.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Bramble Bay 0.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Riding Pretty 0.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Jan’s Girl 0.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Lady Arsinoe 0.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Starship Agenda 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hope in Him 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Etnico 0.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Outlaw Country 0.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Crosstown Shootout 0.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Hilarious Affair 0.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Frosted Faith 0.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Loyal Louie 0.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 No Deliberation 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fast Fixer 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo Caliente 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Whiting Field 0.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Highland Peak 0.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Dixie Preach 0.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sweet Travels 0.00 5 9-1
8 8 Rapscallion 0.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sugar It’s Eli 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Tiggeroo 0.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Grand Tower 0.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Downing Street 0.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Lomachenko 0.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.