Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Queen of Naples 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ms Bo J 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Quick Brown Fox 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 5 Strikingly 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Jane Austen 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Apple Fest 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cane Creek Road 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sawasdee 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Give Me the Lute 1.80 2 4-1
5 5 Silardi 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Barristan The Bold (GB) 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Devil Moon 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Hapi Hapi 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Carol’s Comic 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Seattle Surf 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Magic Account 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Thirsty Lov 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Bring Him Home 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Natural Cat 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Siren Lure S.) – Siren Lure S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lane Way 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mucho Del Oro 1.80 1.2 2-1
3 3 First Peace 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Johnny Podres 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Mackinnon 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nay V Belle 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tambo 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 In Theory 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ma Rae’s Girl 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Beau Soleil 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Show Card 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pacific Rose 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Red Cross Knight 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Moogie Son 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Oubabe 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Fly the Sky 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Worse Read Sanchez 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Dick Best 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Big George 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bad Sneakers 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Gavea 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Crypto Ride 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mischelof (CHI) 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Telos 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Moesahandful 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Smooth Salute 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Dual Threat 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Letshaveonemore 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Arrogates Spirit 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 North East Star (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Inner Beauty (IRE) 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Unkept Secret 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Aspirational 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Smart Kitten 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Just Is 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Dendera 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Santa Maria S.) – Santa Maria S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Super Shine (ARG) 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Desert Dawn 1.80 1.7 3-1
7 7 Coffee in Bed 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Turnerloose 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Blue Dream Machine 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Princess Bettina 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Liberal Lady 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Big Novel 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Runamileinmyshoes 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Warren’s Paradice 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Isabel Ludlow 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Ashleys Sandcastle 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Blondzilla 30.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Quantum Innergy 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Another Summer 20.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Glacier Rim 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Be a Goldfish 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Wishes to Riches 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Mineral Rights 20.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Starlit Harbor 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Castagna 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Stakemaker 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.