Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, April 24, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shogun Be Fast 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Ellie’s Boyfriend 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Family Factor 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Nak Nak Bolt 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Midway Miracle 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Enjoyment 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Hijack the Party 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Moonstrike (GB) 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tapit First 0 0-1
1 1 Caribbean Wind 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Tapit First 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Good Looking 20.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Fleet Street 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Voodoo Princess 30.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Whatintheliteral 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Vodka With a Twist 30.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Cloud Angel 30.00 6.2 12-1
15 15 Rabble 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Street Lass 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flaming Glory 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mariposa de Pista 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Baytown Storm 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mo Pics Please 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Little Alexa 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Spun Lovin 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ice Time 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Drury Lane 4.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Roussette 15.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Vincita 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Track Light 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Du Monde 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Fear of Union 3.50 8.1 15-1
9 9 Active Duty 4.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Mo Rhodes 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Relampago Verde 0 0-1
8 8 Coinvest 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Surf City 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Saturday Long Legs 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Unit Economics (GB) 1.80 5.5 10-1
3 3 Uno Mas Bourbon 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Gamblin George 30.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Relampago Verde 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 San Martin 20.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 French Bread 30.00 9 17-1
5 5 Accident 15.00 9 17-1
13 13 Talbingo 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Drobny 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Maddon 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Five Star G Man 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mohtafil 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Boat House 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hero Worship 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Man With the Moves 12.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Oy Vey 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Tiger’s Legacy 8.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 One Sharp Tiz 30.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Star of Caesarea 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Cowboy Luke 30.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 On Tap 15.00 5 10-1
4 4 Al Ameeq 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Grand Rapids 3.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Air Force Cruising 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mint Edition 0 0-1
Holy Foley 0 0-1
4 4 Awasef 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 I’m a Sure Thing 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Holy Foley 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Viva La Red 1.40 2.2 4-1
7 7 Call Me Toni 30.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Condone 20.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Boltoro 50.00 5 9-1
8 8 Mint Edition 30.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Maria’s Revenge 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Let’s Duet 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Howl 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Amaretti 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Unsung Melody 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Ervadean 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Accede 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Lure’em In 30.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Yes Day 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Charriere 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Decanted 12.00 1 2-1
11 11 Vesture 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Hamilton’s Way 10.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 St. Neots 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Rebel Red (GB) 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Cloudy Holiday 30.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Pilkington 20.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Special Dispatch 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Doolgaroux 30.00 4.8 9-1
13 13 Agapee Mou 10.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 John the Beer Man 2.50 7.9 15-1
8 8 Marina Gamba 30.00 8.5 16-1
14 14 My Boy Tony 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Thermoscope 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Brio 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ten Bits 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.