Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 25, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lucency 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Andy Cant 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Masterwork 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Barnstorming 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Wanna Winna 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Chalky Cat 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Proud Foot 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Sweetest Princess 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Everyoneloveslinda 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 I’m Buzzy 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Icy Reply 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Starship Defiant 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 First Class Cat 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Frannie Lew 2.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Lady Banker 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Moonlit Weekend 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Leadership Ability 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Karen’s Honor 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Dance With Me Babe 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Candy Tycoon 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rocket and Roll 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Higher Quality 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Digital 1.80 4.5 8-1
7 8 Co Conspirator 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Life and Light 30.00 7.1 13-1
1A 7 Goldini 1.80 SCRATCH
5 5 Gut Feeling 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Smokie Eyes 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Shigeko 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Scoring Chance 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Echo in Eternity 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Reigning Chick 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Lavon 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Silver Skillet 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Tax Implications (GB) 1.80 2.4 5-1
1 6 Spooky Lady 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 In Time (FR) 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Snowy Evening 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Rhombique 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Sweet Mystery 1.60 SCRATCH
1A 10 Bon Adieu 15.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Doesn’thurttoflirt 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Revalita (FR) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Weekend Rags 1.80 1 2-1
4 5 George’s Vice 10.00 2 4-1
7 8 Photo Finish 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 City Blocks 6.00 4 8-1
1A 4 Highway Harmony 1.80 4.3 8-1
6 7 Easy Play 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 6 Lake Abanakee 1.60 5.5 10-1
2 1 Big Hazel 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cerretta 0 0-1
9 9 Tongue Twister 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Turriga 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Kant Call It 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Heavenly Girl 3.50 3.2 6-1
10 10 Cerretta 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Autumn 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Capital Spending 10.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Spiranac 15.00 8 15-1
3 3 Rookie League 6.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Fit as a Fiddle 12.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Lu’s Redemption 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Learning to Fly 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Brooklyn Dantz 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Strictly Taboo 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Tossed 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Beautiful Thief 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.