Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 26, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Flip Flops 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Saturday Flirt 1.40 1.3 2-1
10 10 Baytown Storm 15.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Goth 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Match Five 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Rio de Paz 30.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Her Holy Name 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lookatmybuckle 30.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Bois Blanc 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Biv 12.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Cotillard 20.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Pootoogook 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Burning Pine 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Spun Lovin 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Baytown Boo Boo 15.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Mariposa de Pista 20.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Sergeant Capps 30.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 La Marinera 30.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Spirit Rags 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Baytown Bulleit 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Blistering 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 New Rome 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mrs. Astor 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Malawnia 15.00 2 4-1
7 7 Sake (FR) 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Excellent Question 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Pallotta Sisters 12.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Super Stormy 30.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Right Now 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Under Advisement 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Echo Foxtrot 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Esme 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Scarletta 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pontresina 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dee Minus 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Barbtourage 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Barbara T 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Corri Felice 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Satin Blue 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 American Fairytale 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Risky Shot 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Tirupati 6.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Touring With Netta 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 McAvoy 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Iris’s Dream 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Nomos 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Uncle Truly 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Tough Little Nut 15.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Thomas Aquinas 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Quokka 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Ode to Balius 15.00 5 10-1
1 1 Swiss Slang 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Blue Creek 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Good Bali 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One Giant Leap 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tivy 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mullikin 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Miracle Worker 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Chance 4.50 5.7 11-1
7 7 Moreau 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Baltasar 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Vinco 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trouble’s Roaring 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Stinger Bee 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Brody 20.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Yo Banana Boy 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Alcove 1.80 4.9 9-1
11 11 Sweet as Sin 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Frio River 30.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Lean Music Machine 12.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Where Ya At Vince 15.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 World Record 6.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Beckster 8.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Schwarzmeier 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bewitch S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Bewitch S. Presented By Keeneland Sales

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tic Tic Tic Boom 0 0-1
Chop Chop 0 0-1
8 8 Vergara 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Atomic Blonde (GER) 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Lovely Princess 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Chop Chop 15.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Tower Bridge 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Tic Tic Tic Boom 30.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 War Like Goddess 0.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Commandandcontrol 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Queens Command (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Happy Soul 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Princess Adaleigh 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Two Item Saver 20.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Mucho Macho Girl 5.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Nom de Plume 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Unifying 8.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Royal Take Charge 5.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Braganza 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Royal Spa 4.50 8.3 16-1
3 3 Swall 8.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Napa Candy 20.00 11.8 22-1
2 2 Be Like Water 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bandwagon 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rose Collector 15.00 2 4-1
2 2 Domingo 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Gewurztraminer 20.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Team Captain 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Mikealicious 10.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Copper Missile 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Izzy d’Oro 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Catch a Wave 3.50 7.7 15-1
9 9 Magic Heart 8.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Hawks Creek 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.