Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Practical Miss 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Montauk Mystique 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Teresa 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Babi Dreams 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Knight Trail 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bella Isola 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Dramatic Effect 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Youbetterbejoking 0 0-1
2 2 Youbetterbejoking 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Agility 1.40 1.1 2-1
4 4 Camm’ Duke 4.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Solo in Paris 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Dolly’s Bank 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Game Misconduct 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Seeking Unity 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Night Effect 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Reserve Currency 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Memphis 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Proven Hope 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 All the Rage 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Mia (FR) 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kerry 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 4 Masterof the Tunes 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Soloshot 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Catskill Humor 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Ruvies in Time 30.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Risk Free 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Colonel Vargo 3.00 1 2-1
2 5 Printrack 1.60 1.1 2-1
1 3 Got Thunder 3.50 1.7 3-1
2B 7 Chateau 1.60 1.9 4-1
1A 6 Mr Phil 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 4 Ryan’s Cat 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 9 Mister J T 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 8 Honorary Degree 30.00 7.5 14-1
3 1 Capone 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Woodhaven S.) – Woodhaven S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Carson’s Run 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Works for Me 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Elysian Meadows 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Walley World 3.50 5 10-1
1 1 Ridgewood Runner 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 The Big Torpedo 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Good Lord Lorrie 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Poppy’s Pride 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Brazillionaire 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tommy Gun 12.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Clem Labine 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Prince James 6.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Striking Speed 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 First Deputy 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Joker Boy 30.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Ribbons and Medals 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mount Travers 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Winning Drive 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Overacting 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Artemis Girl 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Mim 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Firsttimeinforever 2.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Being Betty 8.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Accelerina 50.00 7.3 14-1
2 1 Mysaria 30.00 8 15-1
9 9 Stella Mars 5.00 8 15-1
7 7 Succulent 12.00 9.3 17-1
8 8 Roagna 2.50 10.1 19-1
12 12 Capital Gal 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Can’t Fool Me 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 13 Collect the Data 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Barron’s Bounce 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bettrluckythangood 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Koru 2.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Scherzando 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Saka Shocka 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Rabaja 12.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Courtly Banker 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Road Soda 30.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Dillon 30.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Sweet Tone 20.00 8.8 17-1
15 15 A Lister 50.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Tony O 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Impulsive Spending 50.00 SCRATCH
1 1 All Good Here 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Neptune Beach 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Solo Empire 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.