Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast Kimmie | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Splurge | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dove in Charge | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tearduc | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nightsaber (GB) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Workin Ecliptical | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shez Speightful | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Legend | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Barry the Builder | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decisive Pride | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Franc (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caspian Sea (GB) | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Cap | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kohaku | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ocala Rocket | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Amazing Jett | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dollar Liberty | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love Hope Faith | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth an Easy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thingsrgettinharry | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Kuwait Towers | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cryptonym | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bailamos | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | K. C. Chief | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commandant | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dear Dad | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shankar | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Anthony | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Homer Jones | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unequivocally | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anchises | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | David’s Songs | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Franks Mimi | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Asher’s Edge | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sammy’s Samaritan | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fattoush | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Calypso Charlie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | One Sharp Cookie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cross Haste | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bird Wildcat | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Brother | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Free Soul | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | English Bob | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cattin | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neophyte | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sesame Seed Bagel | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spy Hunter | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nate the Great | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O Captain | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Otago | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Photo | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Boomer | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jamestown | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Be Like Clint | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Vanishing | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spy Novel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fly the W | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Romantic | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Best Distance | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap Gold | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uranium | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pound Green | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Journey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Chapalu | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Burnin Turf | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’spuregold | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | J P Hellish | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stat | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Like the King | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Speed | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Mess | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clear Destination | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Determinedly | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Omaha City | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hakkimi (CHI) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beth’s Dream | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Libban | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Concert | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poiema | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yuki (CHI) | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atomically | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abundancia | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Souper Quest | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kanthari | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yes I Am Free | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smithwick’s Spice | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Extendo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mamba On Three | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full Disclosure | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Xy Speed | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oxymore | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Detroit City | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Pride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lighting Clouds | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Juventus | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Typhoon Fury | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hangin in There | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pet Mat | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I See You Lookin | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bell Mountain | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cptbobsbtwentynine | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kid Cairo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Idoneo | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Derby Street | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quistmer | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mo Go | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Berkus (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.