Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Caribbean King 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Gold Foot 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Hot Legs Romolo 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Circleofchampions 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Promissio 5.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Mongolian Altai 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Hard Mission 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Mighty Kai 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Smokem If U Gottem 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Eagles Dare 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Our Bucky Charm 1.20 1.3 2-1
4 4 Blame the Classic 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Whats the Buzz 5.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Evertoriano 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Safa 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 The Shushala 6.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Quick Kate 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Sneaker 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Grease Missle 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Putt for Dough 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Dorie Miller 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Kona Gold S.) – Kona Gold S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Chosen Vron 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Forbidden Kingdom 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Prince Abu Dhabi 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Express Train 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Zeus’ War 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Happy Jack 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 See Through It 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Anmer Hall 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Big Hat Willie 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Tarantino 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Incredible Shot 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Single Track Mind (IRE) 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Lahaina Flavor 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Threebrothers 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Kimmer 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Trusty Rusty 0 0-1
5 5 Top Gun Tommy 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Lansdowne (GB) 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Lambeau 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Midnight Fury 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 The Little H Man 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Elector 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Trusty Rusty 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Good Vibes Only 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Johnny Drama 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Forgiving Spirit 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tigerhon (FR) 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 On the Whim 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Cali Bay (IRE) 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Fleet Feet 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Legislator 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Shortman 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Belmont Bill 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Lawless World 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lettheliquortalk 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Syntactic 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 American Cat 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Derecho Dandy 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 L’Enfant Dit 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 My Partner Glen 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Thompson 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Fireman Dan 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Handsome Harry 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Royal Heroine S.) – Royal Heroine S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bellabel (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Stay and Scam 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Lakota Spirit 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Justique 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Miss Lizzy 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Uncorked (AUS) 3.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Fuente Ovejuna (GB) 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Glenall (IRE) 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Irresistible Force 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Faustin 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Ultimate Gamble 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Yellow Brick 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Ashcroft 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 It’s My House 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 I Don’t Get It 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 St. Elmo 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Hey Brother 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Smart Mo 15.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Santo Dios (ARG) 20.00 6.1 12-1
12 98 Brazenly 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Midnight Mammoth 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Runyon Canyon 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Irish Rose 5.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Sunset Glory (IRE) 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Kelly’s Out (IRE) 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Willa T 8.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Den of Iniquity (GB) 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Ima Joker 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Baltic Fire 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sweet Gem 30.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Criticism 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.