Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mama’s Dream 0.60 1 2-1
4 4 Alpha Sonny 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Qorokwe 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Stanley Rough 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Onofrio 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Montauk Surf 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Morning Cup 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bad Larry 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Moving Pictures 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Big Save 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 South Street 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Mudville Nine 3.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Fight Fiercely 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 Flash Kiss 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Leading Contender 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Good Skate 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Bendoog 1.40 3 6-1
6 6 Lord Captain 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Rocco Strong 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Iron Works 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Harvard 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Little Luca 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 M B’s Munning 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Writer’s Regret 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Gentleman Joe 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 American Gentleman 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Sagamore Mischief 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Amundson 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Life Changer 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Timed Out 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Everlys Girl 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Mon Petit Chou 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Sweet as Sugar 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Devilly 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Starry Midnight 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Capital Gal 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Peachy Weachy 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Cupids Girl 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Memories Of Silver S.) – Memories Of Silver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Living Magic 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Youknownothing 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Curlin’s Girl 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Faith Understood 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Sweet Rebecca 1.80 3.3 6-1
4 4 Miss Mottley 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Munny Grab 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Thirteen Red Flags 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Camera 1.60 SCRATCH
6 6 Most of All 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Golden Reign 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Clubhouse 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Notah 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Paschal Moon 10.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Storming Chrome 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Charlie Five O 12.00 3 6-1
9 9 Kant Beat the Rock 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 G Munning 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Leonids 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alexis Zorba (GB) 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Yarrow 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Acoustic Ave 4.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Mischievous Angel 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Famous Gent 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 King Moonracer 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Summer in Adriane 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Daufuskie Island 30.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Kunshan Bridge 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Savings Rate 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Vespucci 1.80 SCRATCH
14 14 What’s Up Bro 1.60 SCRATCH
6 6 Upside Potential 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Works for Me 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Indian Mischief 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gem Mint Ten 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Zapruder 30.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Be of Courage 3.50 6.6 12-1
3 3 October Bliss 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Skellig Island 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Provision 30.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 The Paddock Pastor 2.50 7.5 14-1
6 6 King Freud 30.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Ez Roll 6.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 American Grant 50.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Noble Huntsman 20.00 10 19-1
14 14 Sonic Speed 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Whistler’s Honor 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Thethrillofvictory 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Cable Ready 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.