Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Shezmisbehaving 0 0-1
1 1 Fast Giselle 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Abhita 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Grazed My Heart 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 In Your Face 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Spring Magic 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Quaria Thunder 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Ankyrah 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Shezmisbehaving 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Sweet Layla Rae 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Frazzled 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 De Joria 1.60 1.6 3-1
1 1 Violet Storm 4.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 R Swirvin Girvin 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Yvett’s Surprise 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Known Idea 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Where It’s At 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Beer Money 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Refocus 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Final Storm 4.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Immelmann 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Surroundedbyangels 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Tiger in My Tank 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dramatizer 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Roman Empress 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Vulin 1.80 3.9 7-1
5 5 True Friend 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 A Broken Breeze 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Zzyzx 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crosby Beach 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Dandy Man Shines (IRE) 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Aligato 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Flashiest 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Dean Martini 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Reiquist 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Hula Candy 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Crypto Craze 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Sanger 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Man Child 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Motorcade 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Good N Thirsty 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Kahuna Magic 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Curlin’s Kaos 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Two by Four 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Clements Ride 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Takes Three 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Size Does Matter 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Stolen Treasure 5.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Mischiefs Causeway 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Keep Movin’ On 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Just a Guess 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tizzy Twister 0 0-1
3 3 Uncontrollable 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Wishtheyallcouldbe 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Tizzy Twister 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Irish Wahine 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Sweet Hello 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Flymetothemoonbaby 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wimberly 0 0-1
1 1 Heart of the Night 5.00 1 2-1
13 13 Not A Sinner (GB) 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Disposition 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Carson Jen 12.00 2.9 5-1
12 12 Ur in Trouble 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Vibez 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Wimberly 6.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Ziti (FR) 12.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Love Alive 8.00 10 19-1
10 10 Charm Your World 6.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Upcharge 12.00 11.2 21-1
7 7 Queen Girvin 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Pace Lane 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tahini 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.