Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Osprey 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Marisa’s Mission 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Doctor Doom 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Saponara 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 We Ready 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Seven Is a Breeze 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Catch My Vibe 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bad Guy 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sensible Jim 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Evolutionary 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Prince Colton 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Lucky Linus 2.50 4 8-1
2 2 Omaha Eight 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Uniwinner 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Confiscated 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Teddys Bat 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 I Never Say Never 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Uncle Georgy 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 The Grayt Pumpkin 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fuego Sos 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Mister B 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Pleasant Dreams 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Hero’s Spirit 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Thirsty Pappy 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Hardy Choice 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Big Boys Answer 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Smooth Motion 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Caughtandcollected 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Skimble Shanks 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Centurion 4.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Itwasthedevilsidea 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fast Mule 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Luli’s Dancer 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Istria 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Appealingtothe Eye 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Bullet On Tap 3.50 5.7 11-1
7 7 Angelic Gal 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Sirenetta 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Cinnamon Dream 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Collin’s Grey Lady 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Phancy Philly 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Bahama Pearl 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Gia’s Fuego 10.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Mazal Eighteen 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Leviosa 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Peach Be With Q 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Starship Rogue 10.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Knock Out Kid 15.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 This Round’s Mine 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Coalville 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tricolour 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Funstruck 5.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Freedom Eagle 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 New Spell 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Humble Joe 12.00 4 8-1
9 9 Big Ern McCracken 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sky’s No Limit 4.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Biagio 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ninja Prize 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Center Mid Maddie 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Carcharoth 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Bronx Boys 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Mr Sandman 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Capital Conquest 2.50 3.4 7-1
3 3 Private Cabana 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Rockin Freebee 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Confirmed Star 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Dweller 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Wicked Sight 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 R Funny Bizness 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Snappy Ride 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Et’s Moon Maiden 4.00 7 13-1
1 1 Noisy On the Bay 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Queen Cadence 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rolls Royce Joyce 4.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Vanishing Faith 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Peyton’s College 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Liplock 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Risque’s Jewel 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Xenatown 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Brody Slam 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Londonderry 20.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 J J Loves Billy 20.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Oui Madame 20.00 11 21-1
7 7 Gormley Girl 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.