Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brown Don’t Stop | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indianquest | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gum Island | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eric From Miami | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rock Star Boy | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ava’s Uncle Billy | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I Feel the Need | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shoopthereitis | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Try It Again | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maggie T | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Argentina Girl | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Synonymous | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strange Fruit | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Affirmed Success S.) – Affirmed Success S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sheriff Bianco | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rotknee | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Excellent Timing | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donegal Surges | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thrill of It | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gun Maestro | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Love Cara | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scotto | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Papi On Ice | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bingood to Knowya | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sondsliksomdiniddo | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Purchase | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Phantom Jewel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Really Good | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mondego (GB) | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daunt | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beuys (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Agent Creed | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brumba Waffle Toes | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Calling | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holdtheflight | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gut Feeling | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Heat | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Six Percent | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Victory | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Banker | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Battleoflexington | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boys Code | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Kraft | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aula | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson Heights | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Gaudens | 1.40 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Messi the Magician | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Marco T. | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ocean Mermaid (GB) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Awatea | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Izzy Sweet Girl (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Parade Ring (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Classic Cara | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Growth Rate | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Azteca Stardust | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Private Property (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bewildered | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Belliqueux | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silvology | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 98 | Sassy Allie | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Leslie’s Humor | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | No Tricks | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.