Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 2, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brown Don’t Stop 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Indianquest 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Gum Island 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Eric From Miami 2.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Rock Star Boy 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Ava’s Uncle Billy 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 I Feel the Need 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shoopthereitis 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Try It Again 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Maggie T 2.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Argentina Girl 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Synonymous 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Strange Fruit 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Affirmed Success S.) – Affirmed Success S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sheriff Bianco 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Rotknee 1.40 2.1 4-1
5 5 Excellent Timing 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Donegal Surges 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Thrill of It 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gun Maestro 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 I Love Cara 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Scotto 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Papi On Ice 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Bingood to Knowya 3.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Sondsliksomdiniddo 3.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Golden Purchase 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Phantom Jewel 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Really Good 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mondego (GB) 1.60 1.8 3-1
2 2 Daunt 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Beuys (IRE) 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Agent Creed 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Brumba Waffle Toes 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bourbon Calling 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Holdtheflight 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Gut Feeling 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 High Heat 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Six Percent 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Bold Victory 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Wild Banker 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Battleoflexington 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Boys Code 12.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Dr. Kraft 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Aula 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Jackson Heights 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Saint Gaudens 1.40 6.1 11-1
7 7 Messi the Magician 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Marco T. 3.00 1 2-1
6 4 Ocean Mermaid (GB) 2.50 3 6-1
7 6 Awatea 5.00 3.6 7-1
1A 7 Izzy Sweet Girl (IRE) 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 5 Parade Ring (IRE) 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 3 Classic Cara 50.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Growth Rate 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Azteca Stardust 20.00 9 17-1
10 10 Private Property (IRE) 12.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Bewildered 15.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Belliqueux 30.00 11.1 21-1
12 12 Silvology 8.00 SCRATCH
3 98 Sassy Allie 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Leslie’s Humor 1.00 SCRATCH
14 14 No Tricks 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.