Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chiquita Reina | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maylen | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ladle | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iuka Miss | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | West Coast Harbor | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gather the Facts | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tapwrit Warrior | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paynt Your Way | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Digital Currency | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ms I Speight | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Snap Judgement | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Morning Miracle | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Noble Bernadette | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mor Happy Hours | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | K’antheia | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valerie Blue | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Maestra | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Territoriality | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady June | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vostra | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pittore d’Oro | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Neck Paula | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Long Neck Paula | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Minty | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Preciseness | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keyana | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pounds in Town | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Long Neck Paula | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Elle | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Fantastica | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slanderous | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Makenna | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calcetines | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Emy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Melittlefrostgirl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Achieve | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Run Camila Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Closethegame Sugar | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kavod | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scotland | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angkor | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Blue | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gilcrease | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rocky Joy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heart of Oscar | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tornado Road | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Curlin Gunner | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spoonie | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chasing Kitty | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Berti | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tapit for the Win | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sarpedon | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thermoscope | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucchesi | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Modern Day Warrior | 5.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Demetrius | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Juan Valdez | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bookie Brent | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | First of His Name | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Castlewarden | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cold as Hell | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Legacy | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shopper’s Revenge | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Underhill’s Tab | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Earl of Dassel | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Keating | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Three Polks | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chanisa | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Walker | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neutralize | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Color | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Generous Lover | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itsablingthing | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Judy Elaine | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tall Boy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Sir London | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reckoning Force | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dripping Gold | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miranda Rights | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tall Boy | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Diamond | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s Got Swagger | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Freedom’s Way | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Manager | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barberini | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ready to Purrform | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Woodcock Flight (IRE) | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fair Dinkum | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Prince’s Spur | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hidden Stash | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Wind Twist | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Kentucky Juvenile S.) – Kentucky Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akinmusire | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| West Memorial | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Mensa | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shoot It True | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jet Sweep Joe | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strummin | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | West Memorial | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tuxedo Park | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Akinmusire | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Turnbuckle | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Queens M G | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (St. Matthews Overnight S.) – St. Matthews Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bango | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surveillance | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | O Besos | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Necker Island | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Bash | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manny Wah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Richiesonaroll | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Opening Verse S.) – Opening Verse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Talk of the Nation | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carl Spackler (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Churchtown | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stitched | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smokin’ T | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Accredit | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skyro | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harlan Estate | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiverton (GB) | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality G | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ah Jeez | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sant’ Antimo | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Mojo | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pike Place | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Hero | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Long Crow | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harleezy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Romeo Lima | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Peterkin | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Flat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Power Alley | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.