Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 2, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 I Am the Guy 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Moonin N Zoomin 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Hez Her Sicario 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Jess Diamonds 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Captain Eagle 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Ttt Sweet Boy 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Leaving Seperately 15.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 A Corona Stud 15.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Xodus 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Firstn Kool Moon 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Power of the Smile 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pythagoras 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Achiever Pilot 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Blj Secret Hand Shak 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Kool First Liner 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Mill Creek Angel 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Pilotowillshinenher 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Cca Fun Walk 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shez Leavin Magic 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jj Eagle Hy Luck 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Shes Gunna Be Famous 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Mp Eye Fly 3.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Sheza Patriot Cartel 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Perry Lou Cartel 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Your Times Coming 3.50 7.6 14-1
6 6 Zoom N On High 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ms Coco Mp 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tf Im Just Rippin 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Ttt Run James Run 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Asc Eclipse 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Sunday Sinner 12.00 6 11-1
10 10 Bama Fortune Cookie 4.50 6.4 12-1
5 5 Ryder Up 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Nothing Like Acorona 20.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Sue Nahmi 20.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Princess Dee Gol 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Shesabadmoonrising 0 0-1
2 2 Venus Tlc 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Polita Chick 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Tdz a Fiery Streak 15.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Shesabadmoonrising 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 My Lady Corona 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Eagle Watchn 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tf Miss Rip Too 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Blazin Legacy 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Gabby B 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Belgravia 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Brace for Red River 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lynns Sweet Blood 5.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Blew Duck 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Your Beehind Honey 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Billie Bad Azz 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Channings Prize 2.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Fast Dash N Perry 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Bcl One Fast Jess 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Inperfect 20.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Bad N Boujee 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Blue Dream 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Moonin Princess 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 A Corona Moon 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Sheza Neon Rogue 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Flying Feather 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Paint My Pirate 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Elegant Dynastia 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Magnolia Prize 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Jess Divi the Cash 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Elegant Blues Girl 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ttt Mr Kas 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jess Shine Time 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 The Fiscal Cartel 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Amtrack 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Hot Cajun Love 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Courage to Corona 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Blues Mac Daddy 8.00 5 10-1
10 10 Brigs Dashing Corona 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Dead Winner 6.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Blackjack Tlc 6.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.