Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 2, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Greta 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Marabina 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Popstyle 1.60 4 7-1
3 3 Valiant Kiss 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Kip the Distance 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 China Blue 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Night Jumper 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Uncle Curly 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Daniel Sun 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Kingfish Stevens 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Momza 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sir Terre 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 My Man Flint 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 He’s a Butte 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Magic Soul 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Manhattan Boy 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Seven Anniversary 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Cajun’s Choice 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Wicked Phantom 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Cheyenne Brave 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Spin 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 West Bank 1.40 1.6 3-1
4 4 Lace Curtain 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Emily’s On Fire 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Did I Dazzle You 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Too Hot to Stop 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Midnight Onyx 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hay Hay Harry 1.60 2.9 5-1
4 4 Chacharero 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sixteen Cigarettes 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Baltic Mule 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Shemightdancesalsa 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Antillean 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Fort Charles 3.50 8.7 16-1
1 1 Shipwreck 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lady O’Brien 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Take Your Point 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Mobay Princess 30.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Reina Mar 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Gossiper 3.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Verina 30.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Some of It 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Summer in Toga 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dialithic 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Goats On a Tree 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Refugiada 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Wow Lucky 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 She Takes Cash 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Llamarada 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Seat At the Table 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Silent and Violent 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Because the Night 2.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Speed Control 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Old Flag (IRE) 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Poliglota 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Live High Live Low 3.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 El Chato 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Ice the Kicker 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.