Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Hypnocurrency 3.50 1 2-1
3 2 Two Redheads 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 1 Love Like Crazy 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 3 Keep It Sexy 3.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 Army of Thoughts 2.50 4.1 8-1
7 8 Shasi 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 7 Shaymyname 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 6 Afilada 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Roman Grace 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Timely Conquest 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Kitten’s Appeal 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Dame Cinco 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Adeliese’s Smile 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Lady Mine 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Sheepshead Bay S.) – Sheepshead Bay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 McKulick (GB) 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Parnac (FR) 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Royalty Interest (FR) 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 La Mehana (FR) 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Star Fortress (IRE) 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 St. Benedicts Prep 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Status Seeker 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Roman Goddess 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Dazzy 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Six Pack Senorita 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Mucho Mama Mia 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Jay’s Love 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Laurel Valley 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Whistler’s Honor 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Sonic Speed 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Veterans Beach 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Leftembehind 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Cable Ready 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Shinsun 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Thethrillofvictory 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nimitz Class 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Accretive 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Repo Rocks 1.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Baby Yoda 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Quality Chic 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 General Jim 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Stolen Base 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Feltrinelli 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Side Eye 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Research Results 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Final Edition (IRE) 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Frostelle 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Man With No Name 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Party With Smarty 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sig 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Donegal Momentum 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Me Wise Magic 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Westchester S.) – Westchester S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Post Time 1.00 1 2-1
7 7 Charge It 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Adero 30.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Dr Ardito 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Messier 4.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Whittington Park 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Winit 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Union Trail 3.00 1 2-1
3 2 My Life Story 2.50 1.1 2-1
11 11 English Castle 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 1 Last Drink 10.00 2.2 4-1
10 9 Tony O 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Outtawaterbury 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Master Freud 15.00 6 11-1
1 10 Neptune Beach 15.00 7 13-1
6 5 A Lister 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 4 Dakota Country 12.00 8.6 16-1
7 6 Mugsy Fury 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Forgone 4.50 SCRATCH
1A 13 Judge Rules 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.