Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Classic of Course 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Lou 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Fear the Facts 12.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Riding a Dream 30.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Grey Shadow 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Three Wells 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Megastar 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 My Sergeant 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Likebelivingnmagic 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lasso 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Hot N Lucky 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Falfurrias 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Baytown Parfait 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Billy the Greek 3.50 5 9-1
4 4 Copperlite 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Awesome Train 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cajun Fool 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Kaliman 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Unspoken Request 1.80 3.7 7-1
2 2 Team Travis 2.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Uzziah 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rapid Tula 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Charlottes Road 1.60 3.1 6-1
2 2 Uncaptured Dove 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Baby Blocks 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Miss Bia 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Brown Eyed Beauty 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Castle Born 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Heathcliff 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 T B Twelve Always 10.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Khopesh 1.80 1.8 3-1
1 1 Designated Hitter 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 The Honeyman 2.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Karaoke 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Miracle Trip 3.50 6.2 12-1
7 7 Noble Star 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flirtini 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cymbal Court 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Megan Makin Money 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Lovin Makes Cents 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Olga 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Kozem 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Travel Happy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Private Thoughts 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Typhoon Lagoon 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Awesome Crusader 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Sociallongdistance 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Echo Lane 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Admiral’s Wave 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Halon 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sudoku Terry 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Cairnhill 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Starlit Sofi 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Star Performance 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Blue Topaz 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Infinious 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Happy Beach 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Lightning Dust 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.